15:14 European shares fell early on Friday, extending the previous session's steep decline, on worries that major economies could be headed into recession, and that policymakers have no solutions for the euro zone debt crisis.
The FTSEurofirst 300 index [ .FTEU3 896.60 -28.59 (-3.09%) ] index of top European shares was down 1.3 percent at 913.47 points, after falling 4.8 percent on Thursday, its biggest one-day decline since March 2009, after a raft of gloomy U.S. economic data on concerns over short-term funding stress on European banks.
"The market is discounting a recession, but I would say they're wrong," said Lothar Mentel, chief investment officer at Octopus Investments, which manages $4 billion.
"Some stocks have been driven down to ridiculous levels. There has been a panic about Euro
14:39 Worries about the European banking system shook stock markets across the continent, and then across the Atlantic Thursday. The selling was compounded by weak U.S. economic reports and signs that the U.S. tech industry is feeling the pinch of a slowing world economy. "The tech stocks have heavy exposure to Europe. That's a big chunk of their earnings," said Art Cashin, head of floor operations at UBS. A number of tech companies this week lowered forward guidance, including Hewlett-Packard HP which cut its full year revenue forecast to $127.2 billion to $127.6 billion, form $129 billion to $130 billion, when it reported earnings Thursday afternoon. HP also said Thursday that it may spin off its personal computer division, and that it was ending its tablets and smart phone business. The company also said it is in talks to buy U.K. software company Autonomy for $10 billion. Cashin said the industry is in a transitional phase as the challenge from the iPad and other mobile devices shakes the PC industry. Earlier this week, Google GOOG said it was buying Motorola Mobility MMI for $12.5 billion. "The world of tech a year from now will be very different," he said.
11:19 HRUM: PBV RATIO: 8.5X VS BUMI: 4.8X; ADRO 3.8X; ITMG: 6.5X; ON P/E RATIO: HRUM: 16.2X; BUMI: 12.3X; ADRO: 14.3X; ITMG: 13.2X
10:31 ENRG STRONG BUY ON NEW TALKS OF MASELA STAKE PURCHASE; TP 260
09:20 BUMI- 1H11 net profit rose 8.8% yoy to $274.4mn. Higher average selling price was able to offset the decline in sales volume - the profit number is 57% of FY11 consensus of $477.6mn
BRMS- reported 1H11 net profit of Rp343.8bn (+96.8% yoy), driven by higher selling prices & lower interest/financing charges - the bottom line figure is 41% of FY11 consensus of Rp841bn
BNBR- posted 1H11 net profit of. Rp81.7bn vs a net loss of Rp302.8bn in 1H10
UNSP- expects to complete its $210m debt refinancing by September. The company's said it has got commitment from a "club-deal" with total facilities up to $250mn, 5 years, with interest of 8%-10%/year.
BTEL- Bakrie Group has acquired PT Rekajasa Akses which holds a license for 4G technology in Indonesia. The deal is worth $12.5mn
---------------------------------------------------
Personal view on JCI today 08/19/11 (Akhmad Nurcahyadi)
Kekhawatiran terulangnya krisis liquiditas, didukung oleh kinerja data makro yang mengecewakan dari jobless claims yang naik, consumer price yang menguat dan existing home sales yang turun sebesar 3.5% telah memicu penurunan tajam ketiga bursa acuan dunia : Dow (-3.68%) S&P500 (-4.46%) Nasdaq (5.22%). Pesimisme pertumbuhan ekonomi dunia oleh Morgan Stanley dan diturunkannya proyeksi penjualan US Auto Sales (FY11F&FY12F) juga telah mendorong VIX Index melonjak tajam 35.12% dan menyebabkan harga emas naik 1.91%. Index di wilayah Eropa merefleksikan kondisi tersebut dan terkoreksi signifikan : FTSE100 (-4.49%) CAC40 (-5.48%) DAX (-5.82%). Harga minyak dunia melemah 7.09% dan demikian pula dengan bursa acuan di wilayah Asia Pasifik : HSI (-1.34%) NKY (-1.25%) SHCOMP (-1.61%).
Hari ini bursa JCI berpotensi mengakumulasikan pelemahan indeks regional dan global tersebut seiring dengan akselerasi kenaikan yang telah terjadi. JCI potensi bergerak pada rentang 3.937- 3.972. Akhmad Nurcahyadi
------------------------------------------------------
Friday (19/8) Early BIRD Fundamental Prespective (Edwin Sebayang-MNC Securites)
ES melihat Bursa Indonesia secara psikologis (Bukan Fundamental) akan turun mengikuti kejatuhan Dow Jones -3.7% (-420 poin), yg tercermin dari tajamnya kenaikan Indeks Ketakutan Konsumen, The CBOE Volatility Index, naik tajam 40% ke level 44, akibat ketakutan akan krisis perbankan Eropa menyusul buruknya data ekonomi yg direlease ttp dilain pihak mendorong penurunan Yield Treasury jk waktu 10 tahun dibawah level psikologis 2%suatu level terendah sejak Masa Eisenhower & mendorong naik harga emas kelevel tertinggi baru.
Data Aktivitas Pabrik bln Agustus di daerah Mid-Atlantic turun tajam -30.7, level terendah sejak Maret 2009 dmn konsensus ekonom adlh +3.7 ditengah data CPI Juli yg naik 0.5% sementara core inflation naik 0.2%.
Data Penjualan Rumah yg ada turun 3.5% bulan lalu mencapai level adjustment seasonal sebesar 4.67 juta unit, jauh dibawah konsensus ekonom 6 juta Unit setelah sebelumnya juga dikejutkan data yg mengecewakan dari naiknya Data Klaim Pengangguran Mingguan sebesar 9000 mjd sebesar 408,000, tertinggi selama 4 minggu terakhir.
Morgan Stanley memperingatkan ekonomi global "berbahaya mendekati Resesi" dan merevisi proyeksi pertumbuhan ekonomi global. Tahun 2011 turun mjd 3.9% dr sebelumnya 4.2% & proyeksi tahun 2012 menjadi 3.8% dari sebelumnya 4.5%.
Bursa Wall Street jg dlm tekanan menyusul berita bahwa otoritas Moneter AS meningkatkan pemeriksaan atas anak usaha Bank Amerika yg berbasis di Eropa, menurut Wall Street Journal.
Dilain pihak harga emas naik tajam diatas USD 1826/ounce, mencapai level tertinggi baru seiring pemburukan data ekonomi.
DOW 10990.58 -3.68%
NAS 2380.42 -5.22%
S&P 1140.65 -4.46%
OIL 81.75 -6.65%
GOLD 1826.7 +1.83%
NICKEL 21300. -2.96%
TIN 22750. -5.23%
CPO.3068. -0.16 %
TLK.34.52 (7360 )
IIT.33.03 (5635 )
Fri IDX Range: 3909-4043
BOW: ASII,AKRA,PGAS, BMRI,BBRI,UNTR,GGRM, JSMR,ITMG,BBNI,INTP, ADRO,INDY,KLBF,MAPI (ES-MNC Sec/Discl On)
Jumat, 19 Agustus 2011
Kamis, 18 Agustus 2011
Kamis, 18 Agustus 2011
15:02 PGAS ada gap 3450-3600
15:02 Bumi Resources Minerals Booked 96% Profit Increase to Rp 343 billions in the 1H 2011
14:55 Cmnp rumours private placement di 2200 disclaimer on
14:02 REMINDER::: Mayora Indah [ PDF ] Margins turn sour - by Erwan Teguh Tgt. Rp17,400, Food & Beverages) Mayora Indah's 1H11 core net profit came in below expectations at Rp166bn (down 24% yoy), forming 36% of our full year forecast and 33% of consensus. Although sales increased by 27% due to volume growth, earnings were hit by the higher cost of goods sold (+36% yoy) that squeezed gross margin to a near historical low
13:31 DJ Foreign Holding In Indonesian Govt Bonds IDR242.03T Tuesday Vs IDR241.35T M
10:53 STRONG BUY MDLN ON ACQUISITION TALKS WITH A SINGAPOREAN PROPERTY COMPANY. MDLN PLANS TO DEVELOP BUSINESS DISTRICT CENTER IN NORTH JAKARTA. TP IDR540
09:30 *DJ Bumi Resources 1H Sales $2.7 Bln Vs $2.1 Bln - Director
09:18 Agenda 18 Agustus Rups INCF, Elty, BUMI will publish the material transaction and shares buyback program, lap keu BNBR
19 Agustus RUPSLB SAIP, kren, cum dev BRNA 90, Lap Keu BNBR
15:02 Bumi Resources Minerals Booked 96% Profit Increase to Rp 343 billions in the 1H 2011
14:55 Cmnp rumours private placement di 2200 disclaimer on
14:02 REMINDER::: Mayora Indah [ PDF ] Margins turn sour - by Erwan Teguh Tgt. Rp17,400, Food & Beverages) Mayora Indah's 1H11 core net profit came in below expectations at Rp166bn (down 24% yoy), forming 36% of our full year forecast and 33% of consensus. Although sales increased by 27% due to volume growth, earnings were hit by the higher cost of goods sold (+36% yoy) that squeezed gross margin to a near historical low
13:31 DJ Foreign Holding In Indonesian Govt Bonds IDR242.03T Tuesday Vs IDR241.35T M
10:53 STRONG BUY MDLN ON ACQUISITION TALKS WITH A SINGAPOREAN PROPERTY COMPANY. MDLN PLANS TO DEVELOP BUSINESS DISTRICT CENTER IN NORTH JAKARTA. TP IDR540
09:30 *DJ Bumi Resources 1H Sales $2.7 Bln Vs $2.1 Bln - Director
09:18 Agenda 18 Agustus Rups INCF, Elty, BUMI will publish the material transaction and shares buyback program, lap keu BNBR
19 Agustus RUPSLB SAIP, kren, cum dev BRNA 90, Lap Keu BNBR
Selasa, 16 Agustus 2011
Selasa, 16 Agustus 2011
16:10 DJ Indonesia Govt Sells IDR9.4 Tln Bonds At Auction Vs IDR7 Tln Target
15:27 JAKARTA (AFP)--A strong magnitude 6.5 earthquake occurred off Indonesia's
Bengkulu province Tuesday, local geologists said, but there was no immediate
report of damage or tsunami warning issued.
The quake struck at a depth of 10 kilometers, 547 kilometers south-west of
Bintuhan in Bengkulu at 2:36 p.m. (0734 GMT), according to Indonesia's
geophysics agency.
Indonesia is located on the Pacific "Ring of Fire" where the meeting of
continental plates causes seismic activity, and Sumatra is particularly prone
to earthquakes.
11:09 REMINDER::: Lap Keu BNBR akan direlease tgl 18/19 Agustus 2011; BNBR Diharapkan Cetak Laba Bersih sebanyak Rp24 milyar dibanding rugi bersih ditahun2 sebelumnya.
10:50 BNBR BREAKOUT VOLUME AT 65
10:32 HOT RUMORS N BREAKING NEWS: BAPEPAM HAS GIVEN A GREEN LIGHT FOR BNBR TO LAUNCH THE PLANNED QUASI-REORGANIZATION. (DISCLAIMER ON)
10:25 Hari ini lelang SUN 7 T ... Result akan ketahuan jam 3 an...
Laporan keuangan BUMI jumat kalo tidka sabtu akan di realise..
09:55 foreigners net buy 91 billion
09:23 Kawasan Industri Jababeka (KIJA) – Short prospectus out on the local press. The company is issuing 6,036 million new shares (around 30% of enlarged capital) at Rp250/share (a premium to last close of Rp191), to raise around Rp1.5trn. Last week, the company announced the plan to acquire a 100% stake in PT Banten West Java tourism (BWJ) and a 21.6% stake in PT Tanjung Lesung Leisure industry (TLI), for Rp1.5trn. BWJ already owns a 78.4% stale in TLI, so post the acquisition KIJA will direct and indirectly own 100% of both BWJ and TLI. EGM will be held on 21 September, ex-date on 28 September
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Zelamat Pagee dari Universal Broker Indonesia, 16 Agustus 2011
Sentimen positif dari kenaikan yang terjadi pada indeks Dow Jones Industrial diperkirakan akan membuat IHSG melanjutkan trend naik yang tengah berlangsung. IHSG hari ini diperkirakan akan bergerak naik pada kisaran 3925-4065. Melihat posisi terakhir dari indeks DJI yang masih cukup jauh dari kisaran resisten 11700-12000, potensi kenaikan sebenarnya terlihat masih ada. Akan tetapi, pemodal yang hari ini akan melakukan posisi beli simpan sebaiknya tetap waspada karena besok bursa kita libur Hari Kemerdekaan. Spec Buy: PTBA, BBRI, SMGR.
------------------------------------------------------------------
Hi, Adaro reported net earnings of US$268 mn in 1H11, jumped 104% YoY supported by higher sales volume (+10.4% YoY) and ASP (+23% YoY). Net revenue rose by 36% YoY to US$1.8bn, while EBITDA up by 37% YoY to US$626mn.Production volume reached 22.8mn ton in 1H11, or represents 48.5% of our FY11 target. However, cost pressure remain high, with cash cost increased by 23% to US$40/ton due to higher planned ratio, longer overburden hauling distances a|D rising fuel cost. Overall, 1H11 results were inline expectation. Maintain our BUY with px target Rp2,800/share.
---------------------------------------------------------------
The CBOE Volatility Index, widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, tumbled more than 10 percent to trade near 31. GETTING STABLE DOW nya ....
------------------------------------------------------------
KIJA will issue 6bio new shares @ 250. 500 old shares will receive 219 rights.\
--------------------------------------------------------------
PERSONAL VIEW on 16.08.11
Euphoria penguatan market AS + Eropa serta wacana bbrp Foreign House utk menaikkan bobot kepemilikan saham di kawasan negara2 berkembang -termasuk Indonesia- memberikan sentimen positif thdp pergerakan bursa Asia. Dr CNBC, diberitakan bbrp milyuner & hedge funds bsr tlh mulai melakukan aksi 'switcXing'0portfolio mrk terutama saham2 berbasis banking & technology.
Ditutup menguat 1.78% di posisi 3960.02, didukung oleh penurunan value sebesar Rp. 4.69Tn dgn perpindahan saham sebanyak 680jt lembar saham, nett sell foreign yg menyusut sisa Rp. 2Milyar. Nilai tukar rupiah thdp dolar AS kmrn menguat tipis 0.12% menjadi Rp.8544. Kembali, saham berbasis manufacture,finance & mining kmrn mjd leading movers terutama di putaran sesi ke dua.
Prediksi rentang pergerakan indeks hari berada di 3938-4005 Dengan level psikologis indeks berada di posisi 3930. Kenaikan indeks msh akan berlanjut ditengarai dgn penguatan harga komoditas, rencana Pemerintah memberikan Tax Holiday kpd 5sektor industri dgn investasi min.Rp.1Tn, lelang SUN senilai Rp. 7Tn serta libur bursa utk merayakan hari kemerdekaan RI.
Mirip dgn perdagangan bursa kmrn, saham Manufactur (ASII, IMAS, GJTL), Finance (BMRI, BBRI,BBNI), Mining (ITMG, PTBA, BUMI, ADRO, PGAS, UNTR) msh akan menjadi buruan para investor asing. Consumer goods(UNVR, GGRM, MAPI, MYOR) & Agri(AALI,SGRO) spt biasanya akan ikut menyemarakkan perdagangan saham menjelang hari raya.
Bagi investor retails, pilihan investasi atas second liners stocks yg memiliki fundamental & growth bss positive dgn potensi return optimal(MASA, ADMG, ANTM, TINS, ENRG,RUIS, BNBR, CPIN, AISA, MPPA, RALS, BWPT,ASRI, PWON).
JCI for todaH3A
Support: 3819; 3890
Resistance: 4005;4063
USD/IDR: 8525-8545
"Selamat berkarya & berinvestasi...."
(By: Cynthia. Source: BN, CNBC, BI, Kontan)
15:27 JAKARTA (AFP)--A strong magnitude 6.5 earthquake occurred off Indonesia's
Bengkulu province Tuesday, local geologists said, but there was no immediate
report of damage or tsunami warning issued.
The quake struck at a depth of 10 kilometers, 547 kilometers south-west of
Bintuhan in Bengkulu at 2:36 p.m. (0734 GMT), according to Indonesia's
geophysics agency.
Indonesia is located on the Pacific "Ring of Fire" where the meeting of
continental plates causes seismic activity, and Sumatra is particularly prone
to earthquakes.
11:09 REMINDER::: Lap Keu BNBR akan direlease tgl 18/19 Agustus 2011; BNBR Diharapkan Cetak Laba Bersih sebanyak Rp24 milyar dibanding rugi bersih ditahun2 sebelumnya.
10:50 BNBR BREAKOUT VOLUME AT 65
10:32 HOT RUMORS N BREAKING NEWS: BAPEPAM HAS GIVEN A GREEN LIGHT FOR BNBR TO LAUNCH THE PLANNED QUASI-REORGANIZATION. (DISCLAIMER ON)
10:25 Hari ini lelang SUN 7 T ... Result akan ketahuan jam 3 an...
Laporan keuangan BUMI jumat kalo tidka sabtu akan di realise..
09:55 foreigners net buy 91 billion
09:23 Kawasan Industri Jababeka (KIJA) – Short prospectus out on the local press. The company is issuing 6,036 million new shares (around 30% of enlarged capital) at Rp250/share (a premium to last close of Rp191), to raise around Rp1.5trn. Last week, the company announced the plan to acquire a 100% stake in PT Banten West Java tourism (BWJ) and a 21.6% stake in PT Tanjung Lesung Leisure industry (TLI), for Rp1.5trn. BWJ already owns a 78.4% stale in TLI, so post the acquisition KIJA will direct and indirectly own 100% of both BWJ and TLI. EGM will be held on 21 September, ex-date on 28 September
------------------------------------------------------------------
Zelamat Pagee dari Universal Broker Indonesia, 16 Agustus 2011
Sentimen positif dari kenaikan yang terjadi pada indeks Dow Jones Industrial diperkirakan akan membuat IHSG melanjutkan trend naik yang tengah berlangsung. IHSG hari ini diperkirakan akan bergerak naik pada kisaran 3925-4065. Melihat posisi terakhir dari indeks DJI yang masih cukup jauh dari kisaran resisten 11700-12000, potensi kenaikan sebenarnya terlihat masih ada. Akan tetapi, pemodal yang hari ini akan melakukan posisi beli simpan sebaiknya tetap waspada karena besok bursa kita libur Hari Kemerdekaan. Spec Buy: PTBA, BBRI, SMGR.
------------------------------------------------------------------
Hi, Adaro reported net earnings of US$268 mn in 1H11, jumped 104% YoY supported by higher sales volume (+10.4% YoY) and ASP (+23% YoY). Net revenue rose by 36% YoY to US$1.8bn, while EBITDA up by 37% YoY to US$626mn.Production volume reached 22.8mn ton in 1H11, or represents 48.5% of our FY11 target. However, cost pressure remain high, with cash cost increased by 23% to US$40/ton due to higher planned ratio, longer overburden hauling distances a|D rising fuel cost. Overall, 1H11 results were inline expectation. Maintain our BUY with px target Rp2,800/share.
---------------------------------------------------------------
The CBOE Volatility Index, widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, tumbled more than 10 percent to trade near 31. GETTING STABLE DOW nya ....
------------------------------------------------------------
KIJA will issue 6bio new shares @ 250. 500 old shares will receive 219 rights.\
--------------------------------------------------------------
PERSONAL VIEW on 16.08.11
Euphoria penguatan market AS + Eropa serta wacana bbrp Foreign House utk menaikkan bobot kepemilikan saham di kawasan negara2 berkembang -termasuk Indonesia- memberikan sentimen positif thdp pergerakan bursa Asia. Dr CNBC, diberitakan bbrp milyuner & hedge funds bsr tlh mulai melakukan aksi 'switcXing'0portfolio mrk terutama saham2 berbasis banking & technology.
Ditutup menguat 1.78% di posisi 3960.02, didukung oleh penurunan value sebesar Rp. 4.69Tn dgn perpindahan saham sebanyak 680jt lembar saham, nett sell foreign yg menyusut sisa Rp. 2Milyar. Nilai tukar rupiah thdp dolar AS kmrn menguat tipis 0.12% menjadi Rp.8544. Kembali, saham berbasis manufacture,finance & mining kmrn mjd leading movers terutama di putaran sesi ke dua.
Prediksi rentang pergerakan indeks hari berada di 3938-4005 Dengan level psikologis indeks berada di posisi 3930. Kenaikan indeks msh akan berlanjut ditengarai dgn penguatan harga komoditas, rencana Pemerintah memberikan Tax Holiday kpd 5sektor industri dgn investasi min.Rp.1Tn, lelang SUN senilai Rp. 7Tn serta libur bursa utk merayakan hari kemerdekaan RI.
Mirip dgn perdagangan bursa kmrn, saham Manufactur (ASII, IMAS, GJTL), Finance (BMRI, BBRI,BBNI), Mining (ITMG, PTBA, BUMI, ADRO, PGAS, UNTR) msh akan menjadi buruan para investor asing. Consumer goods(UNVR, GGRM, MAPI, MYOR) & Agri(AALI,SGRO) spt biasanya akan ikut menyemarakkan perdagangan saham menjelang hari raya.
Bagi investor retails, pilihan investasi atas second liners stocks yg memiliki fundamental & growth bss positive dgn potensi return optimal(MASA, ADMG, ANTM, TINS, ENRG,RUIS, BNBR, CPIN, AISA, MPPA, RALS, BWPT,ASRI, PWON).
JCI for todaH3A
Support: 3819; 3890
Resistance: 4005;4063
USD/IDR: 8525-8545
"Selamat berkarya & berinvestasi...."
(By: Cynthia. Source: BN, CNBC, BI, Kontan)
Senin, 15 Agustus 2011
Senin 15 Agustus 2011
15:54 Fitch Ratings has affirmed PT Perusahaan Gas Negara's (PGN) long-term foreign-and local-currency issuer default ratings (IDRs) at BB+ and simultaneously revised the outlooks to Positive from Stable.
PGN's national long-term rating has also been upgraded to AAA(idn) from AA+(idn). The outlook is stable.
These rating actions follow a review of PGN's operating and financial profiles, including the impact from a potential significant increase to its gas purchase costs.
"PGN's ratings reflect its dominant position in Indonesia's gas distribution sector and positive domestic demand dynamics. The company has maintained a very strong financial profile for its ratings, with strong free cash generation, low financial leverage and solid liquidity," said Shahim Zubair,
15:42 Besok, pemerintah bakal lelang SUN senilai Rp 7 triliun
14:55 INDF down grade oleh MacQuire (RX), target price Idr 5400. Disc ON.
PGN's national long-term rating has also been upgraded to AAA(idn) from AA+(idn). The outlook is stable.
These rating actions follow a review of PGN's operating and financial profiles, including the impact from a potential significant increase to its gas purchase costs.
"PGN's ratings reflect its dominant position in Indonesia's gas distribution sector and positive domestic demand dynamics. The company has maintained a very strong financial profile for its ratings, with strong free cash generation, low financial leverage and solid liquidity," said Shahim Zubair,
15:42 Besok, pemerintah bakal lelang SUN senilai Rp 7 triliun
14:55 INDF down grade oleh MacQuire (RX), target price Idr 5400. Disc ON.
Senin 15 Agustus 2011
14%3A45%26nbsp%3B+Bercemin+pada+GoldKomoditi+yang+berkilau+1+ini+ternyata+dapat+menjadi+cermin+pergerakan+arah+tren+jangka+pendek+untuk+IHSG+dan+Dow+Jones.+Dalam+1-2+bulan+terakhir+kita+sering+melihat+bahwa+jalannya+Gold+dan+index+saham+berbanding+terbalik.+Hal+ini+terjadi+karena+jika+kondisi+ekonomi+jelek+yang+terimplikasi+pada+kejatuhan+index+saham+maka+dana+akan+menuju+ke+komoditi+emas+yang+dianggap+sebagai+tempat+investasi+yang+paling+aman.+Uniknya%2C+hubungan+tarik-menarik+dari+keduanya+sangat+erat+dan+dapat+kita+jadikan+sebagai+salah+satu+metode+analisa+market+timing.Dalam+beberapa+saat+lagi+kami+melihat+bahwa+Gold+akan+melemah+menuju+level+US%241%2C660-1%2C670+berdasarkan+teori+gap+filling+yang+terjadi+pada+tanggal+5+Agustus+2011+lalu.+Disamping+itu%2C+terbentuknya+pattern+head+and+shoulder+memperkuat+dugaan+bahwa%26nbsp%3B+koreksi+pada+gold+sudah+dekat.+Apakah+dampaknya%3F+pasar+saham+akan+diuntungkan.+Saat+gold+benar-benar+terkoreksi%2C+maka+index+saham+Dow+Jones+akan+bergerak+positif+yang+tentunya+akan+diikuti+oleh+index+regional+termasuk+IHSG.Sincerly+YoursGema+Merdeka+Goeyardi%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A14%3A44%26nbsp%3B+REMINDER%3A%3A%3A+AKRA+akan+bagi+dev+idr+200+cum+22+Agt+2011%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A%26nbsp%3B13%3A32%26nbsp%3B%26nbsp%3B+*DJ+S%26amp%3BP%3A+See+Opportunities+In+Asia+Defensive+Stocks%2C+Banks%2C+Food+Companies%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A13%3A32%26nbsp%3B+*S%26amp%3BP+Exec%3A+See+No+Double+Dip+US+Recession+Yet+But+Risks+Higher%0D%0A*S%26amp%3BP+Exec%3A+Asia+Likely+To+Grow+Even+If+US+Slips+Into+Mild+Recession%0D%0A%0D%0A*S%26amp%3BP%3A+China%2C+India%2C+Indonesia+Equity+Markets+More+Resilient+On+Local+Demand%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A11%3A26%26nbsp%3B+LPCK+NOW+TRADES+AT+6.4X+2011+EARNINGS%2C+FAR+BELOW+PROPERTY+INDUSTRIAL+AVERGAE+P%2FE+RATIO+OF+14X%3B+AT+THAT+AVERAGE+LPCK+SHOULD+BE+FAIRLY+TRADED+AT+IDR4%2C200.+%28EPS%3A+IDR298%29+%0D%0A%0D%0A11%3A06+%26nbsp%3BKZ%3A+Lippo+Cikarang+%28LPCK+IJ%29+held+an+analyst+briefing+last+Friday+by+Sarina+Lesmina%0D%0A%0D%0AOur+NAV%2Fsh+for+LPCK+is+Rp4%2C200%2Fsh+%28latest+closing+price+is+Rp1%2C550%29.+Company%27s+NAV+estimate+is+%7ERp9%2C000%2Fsh.+We+use+DCF+wtih+11%25+ave+price.+Company%27s+estimate+implies+an+ave.+and+selling+price+of+Rp1.5m+psm+for+735ha+land+bank+and+based+on+60%25+saleable.%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A10%3A51+%26nbsp%3BMayora+Indah%26nbsp%3B%26nbsp%3B%26nbsp%2u%5B%26nbsp%3B+PDF%26nbsp%3B+%5D%0D%0ASales+growth+focus+-+by+Erwan+Teguh+%2F+Irenne+Achmad+%0D%0A%28MYOR+IJ+$K+MYOR.JK%2C+OUTPERFORM+-+Upgraded%2C+Rp14%2C700+-+Tgt.+Rp17%2C400%2C+Food+%26amp%3B+Beverages%29%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A10%3A50%26nbsp%3B+RUMORS%3A+PWON+ON+PRIVATE+PLACEMENT+ATY+IDR1%2C260%2FSHARE+TO+SINGAPORE+KEPPEL+LAND+%28DISCLAIMER+ON%29%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A09%3A33+%26nbsp%3BAgenda+15+Agustus%26nbsp%3B+Cum+dev+Plaza+Indonesia+2%2C5%2C%26nbsp%3B+cum+clpi+27%2C8%2C+Rupslb+CNKO%2C+TRUB%0D%0A18+Agustus%26nbsp%3B+Rups+INCF%2C+Elty%2C+BUMI+will+publish+the+material+transaction+and+shares+buyback+program%2C+lap+keu+BNBR%0D%0A19+Agustus%26nbsp%3B+RUPSLB+SAIP%2C+kren%2C+cum+dev+BRNA+90%2C+Lap+Keu+BNBR%0D%0A22+Agustus%26nbsp%3B+Cum+dev+Lppf+14%2C0%2C%26nbsp%3B+rupslb+BDMN%2C+rups+lppf%2C%26nbsp%3B+NUSANTARA+INFRASTRUCTURE+RUPSLB%2C+cum+dev+AKRA+200%2C+Lap+Keu+BUMI%0D%0A%0D%0A------------------------------------------------------------------------+%0D%0AMonday+Early+BIRD+Fundamental+Prespective+%28Edwin+Sebayang-MNC+Securites%29..Sepanjang+minggu+ini+data+ekonomi+yg+keluar+di+AS+cukup+byk+spt%3A+penjualan+rumah%2C+manufacturing%2C+CPI+serta+earnings+emiten+spt%3A+Hewlett+Packard%2C+Wal-Mart+%26amp%3B+perlu%26nbsp%3B+mencermati+krisis+hutang+pemerintahan+Euro+Zone+terutama+hasil+pertemuan+antara+Kanselir+Jerman+Anggela+Market+dan+Presiden+Perancis+Nicolas+Sarkozy+Selasa+%2816%2F8%29+serta+apa+yg+akan+dilakukan+Bank+Sentral+Eropa+setelah+mrk+membeli+obligasi+Spanyol+dan+Italy.%0D%0A%0D%0ANaiknya+Indeks+Dow+Jones+Jumat+%2B1.13%25+%28125.71+poin%29+diikuti+turunnya+The+CBOE+Volatility+Index%2C+mendekati+level+36%2C+mengindikasikan+penurunan+Dow+sdh+mereda+dan+berpotensi+menguat+kedepannya+dmn+IDX+akau%1Bkembali+menguat+hr+Senin+%2815%2F8%29+merujuk+menariknya+valuasi+byk+saham+setelah+kejatuhan+tajam+bbrp+waktu+lalu.+Akan+ttp+Investor+MNC+Sec+tetap+perlu+waspada%2C+bukan+mustahil%2C+pergerakan+Dow+Jones+bisa+naik%2Fturun+tajam+spt+minggu+lalu+jk+data+ekonomi+yg+keluar+lebih+buruk+dari+perkiraan+awal.%0D%0A%0D%0AMelihat+tajamnya+volatility+pekan+lalu%2C+ada+5+hal+yg+perlu+dicermati+investor+MNC+Securities%3A%0D%0A1%29+Pertumbuhan+ekonomi+dibyk+negara+maju+turun+atau+stagnan+spt+pertumbuhan+ekonomi+Prancis+yg+hanya+0%25+pd+Q2%2F2011.%0D%0A%0D%0A2%29+Implikasi+jatuhnya+harga+saham+di+AS+%26amp%3B+Eropa+diartikan+investor+di+Eropa+%26amp%3B+AS+tidak+percaya+lagi+atas+proyeksi+Laba+Bersih+emiten2+tahun+depan%3B%0D%0A%0D%0A3%29+Krisis+Zona+Euro+masih+jauh+dari+mereda%2C+ttp+keputusan+Bank+Sentral+membeli+surat+hutang+Italy+dan+Spanyol%2C+paling+sedikit+saat+ini+meredakan+ketegangan.%0D%0A%0D%0A4%29+Bbrp+minggu+kedepan+belum+ada+laporan+ekonomi+yg+sangat+berat+yg+akan+keluar%2C+kecuali+data+GDP+AS+Q3%2F2011+yg+akan+keluar+2+bln+kedepan.%0D%0A%0D%0A5%29+Terjadi+kekhawatiran+atas+kondisi+fundamental+perbankan+di+Eropa+dan+AS%2C+dimana+Bank+Soci%C3%A9t%C3%A9+G%C3%A9n%C3%A9rale%2C+Citi+dan+Bank+of+America+semuanya+membukukan+kejatuhan+tajam+dlm+intraday+trading+lebih+dari+1%2F5+nilai+saham+mrk.%0D%0A%0D%0AMon+IDX+Range%3A+3861-3956%0D%0ABUY%3A+AKRA%2C+ASII%2C+ITMG%2C+SIMP%2C+BBNI%2C+ICBP%2C+GGRM%2C+INDF%2C+ANTM%2C+BBRI%2C+TBLA%2C+MAPI+%28ES-MNC+Sec%2FDisc+On%29
Jumat, 12 Agustus 2011
Jum'at 12 Agustus 2011
15:35 JAKARTA. Pengembang kawasan industri mandiri PT Kawasan Industri Jababeka
Tbk (KIJA). bersiap mengoperasikan Bekasi Power. Perusahaan memastikan proyek
pembangkit listrik berdaya 130 megawatt itu dalam konstruksi final dan siap
beroperasi Januari 2012.
14:53 Dow Fut membaik -81
14:14 French Preliminary Q2 Economic Growth 0.0 Percent vs Forecast 0.3 Percent
11:18 france will band short selling for 15 days
11:12 GMR Energy To Acquire 30% Stake in Indonesia’s PT Golden Energy
2011-08-12 02:38:56.19 GMT
By Hari Govind
Aug. 12 (Bloomberg) -- GMR Energy Ltd., a unit of India’s
GMR Infrastructure Ltd., agreed to acquire a 30 percent stake in
Indonesia’s PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, according to a stock
exchange filing today.
Link to Company News:{GMRI IN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Note: PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk = owned by DSSA...
10:40 BNBR expects Bapepam Monday to give approval for BNBR's planned quasi -reorganization. The process of revaluing and erase BNBR's debt under the quasi plans is epxcted to be completed by September. After the quasi, BNBR's financial performance will be significantly improving and is available to give dividend.
10:36 Watching indy. Clsa nett buy. Another BORN
----------------------------------------------------------------------
PERSONAL VIEW (2)on 12.08.11
IHSG ditutup diteritori positif pd menit2 terakhir ke posisi 3869.36 (+0.15%), seperti bursa saham Asia lainnya, perdagangan selama 2 sesi terlihat aman dr keroyokan aksi panic selling. Tercatat investor asing msh melakukan aksi jual sebesar Rp. 686 Milyar dengan value transaksi Rp. 6.3Tn. Kurs Rupiah thdp dolar AS melemah 0.18% menjadi Rp. 8549.
Hari ini pergerakan indeks diperkirakan akan kembali berada di teritori yg positif dgn kisaran 3828-3906 dgn didukung oleh indikator teknikal yg bergerak uptrend. Tetap bertahan di saham2 bluechip bagi investor konservatif sedangkan short trader msh bisa melakukan transaksi netting dgn fokus yg intens.
Saham2 dr sektor Financing(BMRI, BBRI, BBNI) & Mining(PTBA, ITMG, HRUM, BUMI, ADRO, PGAS) akan kembali menjadi leading move yg diikuti oleh sektor Infrastructure (TLKM,JSMR,SMGR), Manufactur(ASII, IMAS, GJTL) & Consumer Goods(INDF, UNVR, GGRM, KLBF). Second liner dr sektor yg sama yg menarik utk dijadikan pilihan berikutnya (BBTN,BJBR); (ANTM,ENRG); (MASA,BNBR, CMNP); (MAPI, AISA).
Tetap cermati kondisi fluktuasi regional & global yg bisa setiap saat mengganggu psikologis pelaku pasar & analis yg kurang tanggap dan hobi menakut2i investor tanpa alasan yg logis.
JCI for today:
Support: 3735; 3803
Resistance: 3920 ; 3975
USD/IDR: 8525-8560
"Selamat berkarya & berinvestasi...."
(By: Cynthia. Source: BN, CNBC, BI, Kontan)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PERSONAL VIEW (1)on 12.08.11
Indeks di hampir seluruh kawasan dunia kembali mulai stabil. Turbulensi AS & Eropa sudah mulai mereda, mskpn msh harus tetap diwaspadai. Penurunan selama bbrp terakhir pada Dow, Nasdaq serta S&P kmrn ditelan kenaikan dlm semalam dg kenaikan +3.5% s/d +4.7%, hingga kembali ditutup di atas level psikologis 11,000.
Kekhawatiran atas kejatuhan index yg dilansir oleh CBOE VIX turun dibwh 38. Pelaku pasar kembali confident utk melakukan transaksi dgn jumlah volume yg cukup kuat(6.81 milyar saham). Harga komoditas msh bergerak liar (emas terkoreksi tipis,$17; seangkanminyak mentaWF+35, $85.66 utk Timah +3.5% & Nikel +2.19% ) menandakan kekhawatiran yg tersisa. Lonjakan data berkurangnya pengangguran mskpn didudukung oleh lemahnya data impor AS msh menambah optimisme investor atas reboundnya market.
Tidak ketinggalan bursa Eropa juga mengalami rebound kepanikan sesaat akibat rumours akan diturunkannya peringkat hutang negara Prancis, selanjutnya investor ditenangkan dgn akan diberlakukannya peraturan short-selling ditambah agenda pertemuan presiden Prancis Nicolas Sarkozy vs German Chancellor Angela Merkel selasa depan, utk membahas euro zone governance serta international issues lainnya.
Permintaaan Gub.BI utk segara merampungkan UU JaBing Peugamat Sistem Keuangan (JPSK) msh ditanggapi secara dingin oleh para pengambil keputusan negara. Kondisi krisis saat ini dianggap blm tlalu mengkhawatirkan. Dalam 5hari terakhir, porsi kepemilikan SUN asing dlm SUN berkurang sebesar Rp. 6.43Tn (pd tgl 5 agustus total SUN Rp. 249,62 Tn dan melorot jd Rp. 243.19 Tn pd agustus total SUN Rp. 249,62 Tn dan melorot jd Rp. 243.19 Tn pd tgl 10 agustus'11). Intervensi BI di SUN meningkat Rp. 3.37Tn dlm rangka operasi moneter sekaligus akumulasi SBN sbg instrumen moneter.
"Selamat berkarya & berinvestasi...."
(By: Cynthia. Source: BN, CNBC, BI, Kontan)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday Early BIRD Fundamental Prespective Edwin Sebayang.
"...ES Say HAJAR KANAN in One Day Trade Mode If Possible.."
Bursa Indonesia Jumat (12/8) dipastikan akan kembali NAIK TAJAM seiring TAJAMNYA KENAIKAN Dow sebesar +423.37 poin seriing berkurangnya ketakutan soal Perancis setelah Pres. Perancis Nicolas Sarkozy mengatakan akan memotong utang Perancis sesuai kriteria S&P serta akan bertemu Kanselir Jerman Angela Merkel hari Selasa depan utk membahas kondisi terakhir Zona Euro.
Ditengah melebarnya gap perdagangan AS menjadi USD53.1 miliar (ekspektasinya hanya USD48 miliar) di bln Juni kelevel terbesar sejak Oktober 2008 akibat turunnya ekspor dan impor bersamaan AS sbg tanda melambatnya permintaan global serta turunnya Klaim Pengangguran Mingguan sebesar 7,000 unit kelevel terendah selama 4 bulan terakhir pd level 395,000 unit.
Wall Street ditutup NAIK TAJAM Kamis (11/8) dihampir lini industri dimana Dow Jones selama intrday trading bergerak dlm range 559 poin sebelum akhirnya ditutup naik tajam +3.95% diatas level psikologis 11,000 kembali dimotori kenaikan tajam saham led by Cisco yang naik +15.95%, BofA naik +7.09%,
Goldman Sachs naik +7.03%& Morgan Stanley +10.70%, diikuti penurunan ketakutan investor yg tercermin dr turunnya The CBOE Volatility Index mjd dibawah level 38.
Sementara itu harga emas turun cukup tajam -1.58% dari rekor tertingginya setelah Group CME akan menaikan margin utk margin utk perdagangan di pasar Futures COMEX emas.
DOW 11143.31 +3.95%
NAS 2492.67 +4.69%
S&P 1172.64 +4.63%
OIL 85.44 +3.08%
GOLD 1756 -1.58%
NICKEL.21600. +2.5%
TIN 23605. +3.78%
CPO.30553. +1.77%
TLK.34.01 (7255)
IIT.32 (5460)
Fri IDX Range: 3824-3916
BUY: AKRA, ASII, ITMG, UNTR, INDF, SIMP, UNVR, BBRI, BMRI, JSMR, ICBP, PTBA, INTA, ASRI
ES-Disclaimer On
Tbk (KIJA). bersiap mengoperasikan Bekasi Power. Perusahaan memastikan proyek
pembangkit listrik berdaya 130 megawatt itu dalam konstruksi final dan siap
beroperasi Januari 2012.
14:53 Dow Fut membaik -81
14:14 French Preliminary Q2 Economic Growth 0.0 Percent vs Forecast 0.3 Percent
11:18 france will band short selling for 15 days
11:12 GMR Energy To Acquire 30% Stake in Indonesia’s PT Golden Energy
2011-08-12 02:38:56.19 GMT
By Hari Govind
Aug. 12 (Bloomberg) -- GMR Energy Ltd., a unit of India’s
GMR Infrastructure Ltd., agreed to acquire a 30 percent stake in
Indonesia’s PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk, according to a stock
exchange filing today.
Link to Company News:{GMRI IN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Note: PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk = owned by DSSA...
10:40 BNBR expects Bapepam Monday to give approval for BNBR's planned quasi -reorganization. The process of revaluing and erase BNBR's debt under the quasi plans is epxcted to be completed by September. After the quasi, BNBR's financial performance will be significantly improving and is available to give dividend.
10:36 Watching indy. Clsa nett buy. Another BORN
----------------------------------------------------------------------
PERSONAL VIEW (2)on 12.08.11
IHSG ditutup diteritori positif pd menit2 terakhir ke posisi 3869.36 (+0.15%), seperti bursa saham Asia lainnya, perdagangan selama 2 sesi terlihat aman dr keroyokan aksi panic selling. Tercatat investor asing msh melakukan aksi jual sebesar Rp. 686 Milyar dengan value transaksi Rp. 6.3Tn. Kurs Rupiah thdp dolar AS melemah 0.18% menjadi Rp. 8549.
Hari ini pergerakan indeks diperkirakan akan kembali berada di teritori yg positif dgn kisaran 3828-3906 dgn didukung oleh indikator teknikal yg bergerak uptrend. Tetap bertahan di saham2 bluechip bagi investor konservatif sedangkan short trader msh bisa melakukan transaksi netting dgn fokus yg intens.
Saham2 dr sektor Financing(BMRI, BBRI, BBNI) & Mining(PTBA, ITMG, HRUM, BUMI, ADRO, PGAS) akan kembali menjadi leading move yg diikuti oleh sektor Infrastructure (TLKM,JSMR,SMGR), Manufactur(ASII, IMAS, GJTL) & Consumer Goods(INDF, UNVR, GGRM, KLBF). Second liner dr sektor yg sama yg menarik utk dijadikan pilihan berikutnya (BBTN,BJBR); (ANTM,ENRG); (MASA,BNBR, CMNP); (MAPI, AISA).
Tetap cermati kondisi fluktuasi regional & global yg bisa setiap saat mengganggu psikologis pelaku pasar & analis yg kurang tanggap dan hobi menakut2i investor tanpa alasan yg logis.
JCI for today:
Support: 3735; 3803
Resistance: 3920 ; 3975
USD/IDR: 8525-8560
"Selamat berkarya & berinvestasi...."
(By: Cynthia. Source: BN, CNBC, BI, Kontan)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PERSONAL VIEW (1)on 12.08.11
Indeks di hampir seluruh kawasan dunia kembali mulai stabil. Turbulensi AS & Eropa sudah mulai mereda, mskpn msh harus tetap diwaspadai. Penurunan selama bbrp terakhir pada Dow, Nasdaq serta S&P kmrn ditelan kenaikan dlm semalam dg kenaikan +3.5% s/d +4.7%, hingga kembali ditutup di atas level psikologis 11,000.
Kekhawatiran atas kejatuhan index yg dilansir oleh CBOE VIX turun dibwh 38. Pelaku pasar kembali confident utk melakukan transaksi dgn jumlah volume yg cukup kuat(6.81 milyar saham). Harga komoditas msh bergerak liar (emas terkoreksi tipis,$17; seangkanminyak mentaWF+35, $85.66 utk Timah +3.5% & Nikel +2.19% ) menandakan kekhawatiran yg tersisa. Lonjakan data berkurangnya pengangguran mskpn didudukung oleh lemahnya data impor AS msh menambah optimisme investor atas reboundnya market.
Tidak ketinggalan bursa Eropa juga mengalami rebound kepanikan sesaat akibat rumours akan diturunkannya peringkat hutang negara Prancis, selanjutnya investor ditenangkan dgn akan diberlakukannya peraturan short-selling ditambah agenda pertemuan presiden Prancis Nicolas Sarkozy vs German Chancellor Angela Merkel selasa depan, utk membahas euro zone governance serta international issues lainnya.
Permintaaan Gub.BI utk segara merampungkan UU JaBing Peugamat Sistem Keuangan (JPSK) msh ditanggapi secara dingin oleh para pengambil keputusan negara. Kondisi krisis saat ini dianggap blm tlalu mengkhawatirkan. Dalam 5hari terakhir, porsi kepemilikan SUN asing dlm SUN berkurang sebesar Rp. 6.43Tn (pd tgl 5 agustus total SUN Rp. 249,62 Tn dan melorot jd Rp. 243.19 Tn pd agustus total SUN Rp. 249,62 Tn dan melorot jd Rp. 243.19 Tn pd tgl 10 agustus'11). Intervensi BI di SUN meningkat Rp. 3.37Tn dlm rangka operasi moneter sekaligus akumulasi SBN sbg instrumen moneter.
"Selamat berkarya & berinvestasi...."
(By: Cynthia. Source: BN, CNBC, BI, Kontan)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday Early BIRD Fundamental Prespective Edwin Sebayang.
"...ES Say HAJAR KANAN in One Day Trade Mode If Possible.."
Bursa Indonesia Jumat (12/8) dipastikan akan kembali NAIK TAJAM seiring TAJAMNYA KENAIKAN Dow sebesar +423.37 poin seriing berkurangnya ketakutan soal Perancis setelah Pres. Perancis Nicolas Sarkozy mengatakan akan memotong utang Perancis sesuai kriteria S&P serta akan bertemu Kanselir Jerman Angela Merkel hari Selasa depan utk membahas kondisi terakhir Zona Euro.
Ditengah melebarnya gap perdagangan AS menjadi USD53.1 miliar (ekspektasinya hanya USD48 miliar) di bln Juni kelevel terbesar sejak Oktober 2008 akibat turunnya ekspor dan impor bersamaan AS sbg tanda melambatnya permintaan global serta turunnya Klaim Pengangguran Mingguan sebesar 7,000 unit kelevel terendah selama 4 bulan terakhir pd level 395,000 unit.
Wall Street ditutup NAIK TAJAM Kamis (11/8) dihampir lini industri dimana Dow Jones selama intrday trading bergerak dlm range 559 poin sebelum akhirnya ditutup naik tajam +3.95% diatas level psikologis 11,000 kembali dimotori kenaikan tajam saham led by Cisco yang naik +15.95%, BofA naik +7.09%,
Goldman Sachs naik +7.03%& Morgan Stanley +10.70%, diikuti penurunan ketakutan investor yg tercermin dr turunnya The CBOE Volatility Index mjd dibawah level 38.
Sementara itu harga emas turun cukup tajam -1.58% dari rekor tertingginya setelah Group CME akan menaikan margin utk margin utk perdagangan di pasar Futures COMEX emas.
DOW 11143.31 +3.95%
NAS 2492.67 +4.69%
S&P 1172.64 +4.63%
OIL 85.44 +3.08%
GOLD 1756 -1.58%
NICKEL.21600. +2.5%
TIN 23605. +3.78%
CPO.30553. +1.77%
TLK.34.01 (7255)
IIT.32 (5460)
Fri IDX Range: 3824-3916
BUY: AKRA, ASII, ITMG, UNTR, INDF, SIMP, UNVR, BBRI, BMRI, JSMR, ICBP, PTBA, INTA, ASRI
ES-Disclaimer On
Kamis, 11 Agustus 2011
Kamis 11 Agustus 2011
15:30 BAPEPAM THURSDAY RECEIVED BNBR'S LETTER OF REQUEST TO CONDUCT QUASI REORGANIZATION WHICH INCLUDES ASSETS REVALUING
14:05 Breaking news. NPRI enrg 230- 240
13:50 Rabobank Prediksi Indonesia Masuk Investment Grade pada akhir tahun 2011
13:25 KUALA LUMPUR (Dow Jones)--Cash tin at the Kuala Lumpur tin market closed at US$23,400 a metric ton Thursday, up US$200 from the previous day. Traded volume totaled 36 tons.
11:42 Reminder: Indika will sell 45 pct stake in Petrosea in september
11:28 FITCH AFFIRMS TELKOM AT 'BB+'; OUTLOOK POSITIVE
Fitch Ratings-Jakarta/Delhi/Sydney/Singapore-10 August 2011: Fitch Ratings has
affirmed PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk's (Telkom) Long-term Foreign- and
Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs), as well as its senior unsecured
rating at 'BB+'. The Outlook is Positive.
11:27 Clsa flash news today. . Buy indy tp 4000. Bumi tp 4000
10:42 BORN : PT Borneo Lumbung Energi & Metal Tbk (BORN) disebut-sebut pelaku pasar akan menjual 1,5% sahamnya melalui private placement kepada investor Australia.
10:41 PGAS
DP : Perusahaan Gas Negara: Buy; Rp3,200; TP Rp4,825; PGAS IJ
Key takeaways from conference call on gas cost review
PGAShosted a conference call yesterday to clarify the issues on potential gas cost review proposed by BPMigas. PGAS management reiterated that the gas cost review is unlikely to affect its existing contracts, as gas cost has been mutually agreed by the upstream suppliers and PGAS; the government will not interfere in contracts between business entities.
ANTM
PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM) mencetak pendapatan usaha tidak diaudit (unaudited) Rp4,881 triliun dalam enam bulan pertama 2011. Angka ini melesat 247,06% dibanding dengan periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya sebesar Rp1,406 triliun.Pertumbuhan pendapatan usaha ini menyokong keberhasilan Aneka Tambang menggapai laba bersih sebesar Rp996,711 miliar dalam semester pertama 2011, atau naik 31,79% bila dibandingkan dengan periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya sebesar Rp756,302 miliar
TINS
PT Timah Tbk (TINS) membukukan pertumbuhan laba bersih (unaudited) 103,33% menjadi Rp655,315 miliar dalam enam bulan pertama 2011 dibanding dengan perolehan periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya hanya Rp322,297 miliar.
Pencapaian ini didukung oleh pendapatan usaha perseoran yang ikut naik 28,82% dari Rp2,749 triliun menjadi Rp4,830 miliar. Demikian paparan materi Refleksi Tengah Tahun 2011 Kementerian BUMN.
10:05 Perusahaan Gas Negara: Buy; Rp3,200; TP Rp4,825; PGAS IJ
Key takeaways from conference call on gas cost review
PGAShosted a conference call yesterday to clarify the issues on potential gas cost review proposed by BPMigas. PGAS management reiterated that the gas cost review is unlikely to affect its existing contracts, as gas cost has been mutually agreed by the upstream suppliers and PGAS; the government will not interfere in contracts between business entities.
PGAS also indicated that BPMigas has proposed an additional supply of 105-110mmscfd of new gas supply coming from ConocoPhilips and Pertamina, but at a much higher indicative price of US$17/mmbtu. While PGAS is keen on the new supply, the selling price of the new supply has yet to be finalised. PGAS plans to pass on the increase in cost to the users, through gradual increases in selling prices in order to sustain the group’s margin.
We believe that PGAS will be able to gradu`Yy pass on the gas cost increases due to tight gas supply in Indonesia . Nevertheless, we expect reduction in the group’s EBIT margin from 51% currently to between 40-45% for FY12-13F due to hike in future gas cost and PGAS’ investment in LNG terminals. Construction of PGAS West Jawa LNG terminal is on track, with targeted completion in 1Q12.
We maintain our BUY call for PGAS with DCF-derived target price of Rp4,825. Higher gas volume and potential gas price hike to pass on the increase in future gas cost are key catalysts.
By: dbs
10:00 Bumi's 1H net profit may rise to $265 million (idr2.26 trillion), beating analysts estimate of $230 million on higher average selling price of its coal<0D
09:40 "Enrg hold NPRI ". Enrg will hold NPRI up to 10%. The buyers is Nathaniel Rostchild and the other candidate is shell. The price is around 275 - 350. Enrg will decide midd august. Yesterday the biggest buyer is CLSA,DANATAMA and CIPTADANA.
09:25 foreign yg udah keluar net sekitar $800 million selama seminggu terakhir..(biasanya cukup segitu emergency sell off nya); mereka biasanya masuk lagi dengan double size; tapi mungkin hari ini masih sedikit ada after shock.; disclaimer ON
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LOTS Trading Club™ | www.lots.co.id
Lautandhana Securindo | YJ
Investor Reference 11 Aug 2011
Dalam asumsi versi optimistis kemarin, kami melewatkan satu hal: Eropa! Tapi apa yang terjadi di Wall Street semalam seperti telah menghakimi Eropa, dalam hal ini Perancis, atas sesuatu yang belum terjadi. Investor memang tengah sensitif sekali. Sebuah artikel di Associated Press menjelaskan 'chart based trading' berada dibelakang volatilitas bursa saat ini (http://yhoo.it/pPYHxw). Ketika chart berk^a 'rell', maka pasar pun ramai-ramai sell-off. Saat harga turun lebih dalam, sinyal jual berikutnya kemudian memicu gelombang sell-off yang baru. Begitulah, ketika trader tidak dapat memprediksi masa depan, mereka akan menggunakan 'masa lalu' (technical analysis) sebagai pedoman.
S&P dan Moody's menanggapi spekulasi atas Perancis dengan mengkonfirmasi rating triple A dengan outlook stabil. Namun tentu saja pasar memiliki penilaian sendiri. Satu hal yang pasti di market saat ini adalah ketidakpastian itu sendiri. Sebuah artikel di New York Times menarik untuk direnungkan investor menghadapi ketidakpastian ini. Judulnya 'Siapa Yang Harus Menjual Saham Saat Ini?' Yang pertama dijawab dengan pertanyaan: 'Tanyakan kembali kepada diri Anda, apa tujuan awal Anda berinvestasi di saham?'. Jawabannya akan otomatis menjawab apakah Anda h)us meojual saham saat ini. Misalnya jika tujuan Anda adalah mencari tambahan dHna unuHk membangun sebuah rumah, maka sudah selayaknya Anda mengamankan modal Anda. Jika tidak, Anda bisa saja kehilangan rumah bahkan sebelum rumah dibangun. Kedua, yang ini jawaban lebih pasti, adalah Anda yang tidak dapat tidur tenang di malam hari dan terus memikirMn nilai saham Anda sepanjang hari. Hal ini mungkin karena dana Anda dalah*Uukan dana bebas, atau Anda salah mengatur manajemen dana.
Dilu kedu`a2maks Anda tidak perlu terlalu panik menghadapi tingkah market saat ini. Kami dari club kembali menyarankan untuk melakukan pengaturan portofolio dan mengambil kesempatan koreksi untuk menukar saham-saham yang tidak prospektif dengan saham lain yang berfundamental bagus dan telah terbukti diminati pasar.
(Disclaimer On)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Goldman sachs : reiterate buy commodity. upgrade indonesia and australia stock
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday Early BIRD Fundamental Prespective Edwin Sebayang.
"...Another Buggy Jumping Day.."
Bursa Asia termasuk didlmnya Bursa Indonesia Kamis (11/8) diperkirakan akan bergerak liar, dipenuhi aksi profit taking setelah Wall Street semalam Turun Tajam -520 poin akibat meningkatnya kekhawatiran bahwa Rating Kredit Prancis akan diturunkan oleh S&P dari "AAA" menjadi "AA+".
Mengacu situasi perdagangan di Eropa dan AS semalam, ES melihat sektor yang paling terkena pukulan terdalam yakni saham sektor Perbankan membuat dikuatirkan hari ini Saham Sektor Perbankan Indonesia akan terkena pukulan terbesar shg tidak ada salahnya jika Investor MNC Securities melakukan Aksi Profit Taking atas saham perbankan.
Wall Street Rabu (10/8) kembali terjun bebas dimana Dow Turun Tajam -4.6% (-520 poin) dlm perdagangan yg sgt volatile yg tercermin dari peningkatan Indeks Ketakutan Konsumen, The CBOE Volatility Index, yg naik +20%, dimotori kejatuhan saham Sektor Keuangan (spt: Bank of America -10.92%, Citigroup -10.47%, Goldman Sachs -10.10% & Morgan Stanley -9.67%) dimana investor sgt memonitor perkembangan kondisi perbankan Eropa setelah beredar rumor S&P akan men-Downgrade Credit Rating "AAA" Prancis mjd "AA+" membuat kejatuhan tajam 2 bank besar Prancis yakni: Societe Generale (turun -14.7%) & BNP Paribas.
Harga emas kembali mencetak rekor tertinggi baru yg naik +2.83% (USD49.4) dan ditutup pd harga USD1792.4/ounce walaupun dlm day trade sempat naik diatas USD1800/ounce.
DOW 10719.94. -4.62%
NAS 2381.05 -4.09%
S&P 1120.76 -4.42%
OIL 81.65 +2.96%
GOLD 1792.40 +2.83%
NICKEL.20975. -1.08%
TIN 22745. -0.13%
CPO.3000. +1.01%
TLK.32.78 (6985)
IIT.30.38 (5180)
Thu IDX Range: 3680-3919
BOW: AKRA, ASII, UNTR, INDF, SIMP, UNVR, ITMG, ICBP, PTBA, INTA, ASRI
ES-Disclaimer On
14:05 Breaking news. NPRI enrg 230- 240
13:50 Rabobank Prediksi Indonesia Masuk Investment Grade pada akhir tahun 2011
13:25 KUALA LUMPUR (Dow Jones)--Cash tin at the Kuala Lumpur tin market closed at US$23,400 a metric ton Thursday, up US$200 from the previous day. Traded volume totaled 36 tons.
11:42 Reminder: Indika will sell 45 pct stake in Petrosea in september
11:28 FITCH AFFIRMS TELKOM AT 'BB+'; OUTLOOK POSITIVE
Fitch Ratings-Jakarta/Delhi/Sydney/Singapore-10 August 2011: Fitch Ratings has
affirmed PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk's (Telkom) Long-term Foreign- and
Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs), as well as its senior unsecured
rating at 'BB+'. The Outlook is Positive.
11:27 Clsa flash news today. . Buy indy tp 4000. Bumi tp 4000
10:42 BORN : PT Borneo Lumbung Energi & Metal Tbk (BORN) disebut-sebut pelaku pasar akan menjual 1,5% sahamnya melalui private placement kepada investor Australia.
10:41 PGAS
DP : Perusahaan Gas Negara: Buy; Rp3,200; TP Rp4,825; PGAS IJ
Key takeaways from conference call on gas cost review
PGAShosted a conference call yesterday to clarify the issues on potential gas cost review proposed by BPMigas. PGAS management reiterated that the gas cost review is unlikely to affect its existing contracts, as gas cost has been mutually agreed by the upstream suppliers and PGAS; the government will not interfere in contracts between business entities.
ANTM
PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM) mencetak pendapatan usaha tidak diaudit (unaudited) Rp4,881 triliun dalam enam bulan pertama 2011. Angka ini melesat 247,06% dibanding dengan periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya sebesar Rp1,406 triliun.Pertumbuhan pendapatan usaha ini menyokong keberhasilan Aneka Tambang menggapai laba bersih sebesar Rp996,711 miliar dalam semester pertama 2011, atau naik 31,79% bila dibandingkan dengan periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya sebesar Rp756,302 miliar
TINS
PT Timah Tbk (TINS) membukukan pertumbuhan laba bersih (unaudited) 103,33% menjadi Rp655,315 miliar dalam enam bulan pertama 2011 dibanding dengan perolehan periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya hanya Rp322,297 miliar.
Pencapaian ini didukung oleh pendapatan usaha perseoran yang ikut naik 28,82% dari Rp2,749 triliun menjadi Rp4,830 miliar. Demikian paparan materi Refleksi Tengah Tahun 2011 Kementerian BUMN.
10:05 Perusahaan Gas Negara: Buy; Rp3,200; TP Rp4,825; PGAS IJ
Key takeaways from conference call on gas cost review
PGAShosted a conference call yesterday to clarify the issues on potential gas cost review proposed by BPMigas. PGAS management reiterated that the gas cost review is unlikely to affect its existing contracts, as gas cost has been mutually agreed by the upstream suppliers and PGAS; the government will not interfere in contracts between business entities.
PGAS also indicated that BPMigas has proposed an additional supply of 105-110mmscfd of new gas supply coming from ConocoPhilips and Pertamina, but at a much higher indicative price of US$17/mmbtu. While PGAS is keen on the new supply, the selling price of the new supply has yet to be finalised. PGAS plans to pass on the increase in cost to the users, through gradual increases in selling prices in order to sustain the group’s margin.
We believe that PGAS will be able to gradu`Yy pass on the gas cost increases due to tight gas supply in Indonesia . Nevertheless, we expect reduction in the group’s EBIT margin from 51% currently to between 40-45% for FY12-13F due to hike in future gas cost and PGAS’ investment in LNG terminals. Construction of PGAS West Jawa LNG terminal is on track, with targeted completion in 1Q12.
We maintain our BUY call for PGAS with DCF-derived target price of Rp4,825. Higher gas volume and potential gas price hike to pass on the increase in future gas cost are key catalysts.
By: dbs
10:00 Bumi's 1H net profit may rise to $265 million (idr2.26 trillion), beating analysts estimate of $230 million on higher average selling price of its coal<0D
09:40 "Enrg hold NPRI ". Enrg will hold NPRI up to 10%. The buyers is Nathaniel Rostchild and the other candidate is shell. The price is around 275 - 350. Enrg will decide midd august. Yesterday the biggest buyer is CLSA,DANATAMA and CIPTADANA.
09:25 foreign yg udah keluar net sekitar $800 million selama seminggu terakhir..(biasanya cukup segitu emergency sell off nya); mereka biasanya masuk lagi dengan double size; tapi mungkin hari ini masih sedikit ada after shock.; disclaimer ON
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LOTS Trading Club™ | www.lots.co.id
Lautandhana Securindo | YJ
Investor Reference 11 Aug 2011
Dalam asumsi versi optimistis kemarin, kami melewatkan satu hal: Eropa! Tapi apa yang terjadi di Wall Street semalam seperti telah menghakimi Eropa, dalam hal ini Perancis, atas sesuatu yang belum terjadi. Investor memang tengah sensitif sekali. Sebuah artikel di Associated Press menjelaskan 'chart based trading' berada dibelakang volatilitas bursa saat ini (http://yhoo.it/pPYHxw). Ketika chart berk^a 'rell', maka pasar pun ramai-ramai sell-off. Saat harga turun lebih dalam, sinyal jual berikutnya kemudian memicu gelombang sell-off yang baru. Begitulah, ketika trader tidak dapat memprediksi masa depan, mereka akan menggunakan 'masa lalu' (technical analysis) sebagai pedoman.
S&P dan Moody's menanggapi spekulasi atas Perancis dengan mengkonfirmasi rating triple A dengan outlook stabil. Namun tentu saja pasar memiliki penilaian sendiri. Satu hal yang pasti di market saat ini adalah ketidakpastian itu sendiri. Sebuah artikel di New York Times menarik untuk direnungkan investor menghadapi ketidakpastian ini. Judulnya 'Siapa Yang Harus Menjual Saham Saat Ini?' Yang pertama dijawab dengan pertanyaan: 'Tanyakan kembali kepada diri Anda, apa tujuan awal Anda berinvestasi di saham?'. Jawabannya akan otomatis menjawab apakah Anda h)us meojual saham saat ini. Misalnya jika tujuan Anda adalah mencari tambahan dHna unuHk membangun sebuah rumah, maka sudah selayaknya Anda mengamankan modal Anda. Jika tidak, Anda bisa saja kehilangan rumah bahkan sebelum rumah dibangun. Kedua, yang ini jawaban lebih pasti, adalah Anda yang tidak dapat tidur tenang di malam hari dan terus memikirMn nilai saham Anda sepanjang hari. Hal ini mungkin karena dana Anda dalah*Uukan dana bebas, atau Anda salah mengatur manajemen dana.
Dilu kedu`a2maks Anda tidak perlu terlalu panik menghadapi tingkah market saat ini. Kami dari club kembali menyarankan untuk melakukan pengaturan portofolio dan mengambil kesempatan koreksi untuk menukar saham-saham yang tidak prospektif dengan saham lain yang berfundamental bagus dan telah terbukti diminati pasar.
(Disclaimer On)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Goldman sachs : reiterate buy commodity. upgrade indonesia and australia stock
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday Early BIRD Fundamental Prespective Edwin Sebayang.
"...Another Buggy Jumping Day.."
Bursa Asia termasuk didlmnya Bursa Indonesia Kamis (11/8) diperkirakan akan bergerak liar, dipenuhi aksi profit taking setelah Wall Street semalam Turun Tajam -520 poin akibat meningkatnya kekhawatiran bahwa Rating Kredit Prancis akan diturunkan oleh S&P dari "AAA" menjadi "AA+".
Mengacu situasi perdagangan di Eropa dan AS semalam, ES melihat sektor yang paling terkena pukulan terdalam yakni saham sektor Perbankan membuat dikuatirkan hari ini Saham Sektor Perbankan Indonesia akan terkena pukulan terbesar shg tidak ada salahnya jika Investor MNC Securities melakukan Aksi Profit Taking atas saham perbankan.
Wall Street Rabu (10/8) kembali terjun bebas dimana Dow Turun Tajam -4.6% (-520 poin) dlm perdagangan yg sgt volatile yg tercermin dari peningkatan Indeks Ketakutan Konsumen, The CBOE Volatility Index, yg naik +20%, dimotori kejatuhan saham Sektor Keuangan (spt: Bank of America -10.92%, Citigroup -10.47%, Goldman Sachs -10.10% & Morgan Stanley -9.67%) dimana investor sgt memonitor perkembangan kondisi perbankan Eropa setelah beredar rumor S&P akan men-Downgrade Credit Rating "AAA" Prancis mjd "AA+" membuat kejatuhan tajam 2 bank besar Prancis yakni: Societe Generale (turun -14.7%) & BNP Paribas.
Harga emas kembali mencetak rekor tertinggi baru yg naik +2.83% (USD49.4) dan ditutup pd harga USD1792.4/ounce walaupun dlm day trade sempat naik diatas USD1800/ounce.
DOW 10719.94. -4.62%
NAS 2381.05 -4.09%
S&P 1120.76 -4.42%
OIL 81.65 +2.96%
GOLD 1792.40 +2.83%
NICKEL.20975. -1.08%
TIN 22745. -0.13%
CPO.3000. +1.01%
TLK.32.78 (6985)
IIT.30.38 (5180)
Thu IDX Range: 3680-3919
BOW: AKRA, ASII, UNTR, INDF, SIMP, UNVR, ITMG, ICBP, PTBA, INTA, ASRI
ES-Disclaimer On
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