14:50 REMINDER::: JP MORGAN - PGAS Perusahaan Gas Negara
Renegotiation risk likely to be priced in; upgrade to
Neutral
· Renegotiation risk likely to be priced in; upgrade to Neutral but with lower
price target of Rp3,300: Our sensitivity analysis in our August 4, 2011 report
“BPMigas seeks to raise gas sale price for PGAS”, suggests that at the current
share price of Rp3,200, the potential upward price adjustment of gas supply
from Conoco Phillips (US$1.85/MMbtu) and Pertamina (US$2.1/MMbtu) to
US$5.0-5.5/MMbtu has been priced in. Consequently, we upgrade PGAS from
UW to Neutral, but lower our DCF-based Jun-12 price target from Rp3,750 to
Rp3,300. We have not adjusted our earnings forecasts (which are relatively in
line with those of consensus), but have increased our discount
14:05 hangseng tadi sempet turun ke plus 1.9 pct skrg balik lagi plus 2.88 pct lagi
13:58 REMINDER:: Agenda 10 Agustus Rups CMNP
12 Agustus Rups Alakasa Industri, ALMI DIVIDEND, RP 70 CUM
15 Agustus Cum dev Plaza Indonesia 2,5, cum clpi 27,8, Rupslb CNKO, TRUB
18 Agustus Rups INCF, Elty
19 Agustus RUPSLB SAIP, kren, cum dev BRNA 90
22 Agustus Cum dev Lppf 14,0, rupslb BDMN, rups lppf, NUSANTARA INFRASTRUCTURE RUPSLB, cum dev AKRA 200, Lap Keu BUMI
23 Agustus Rupslb ERTX, CNTX, BRMS, BUMI RESOURCES RUPSLB (Bumi said that it plans to seek shareholders' approval on August 23 to buy back shares I assume that the buyback shares size will reach around 3% or around 623 million shares (1.24 million lots) from the market within the usual 18-month period
13:58 BUMI RESOURCES RUPSLB (Bumi said that it plans to seek shareholders' approval on August 23 to buy back shares I assume that the buyback shares size will reach around 3% or around 623 million shares (1.24 million lots) from the market within the usual 18-month period)
13:36 JAKARTA (Dow Jones)--Bank Indonesia expects capital inflow to the country to
remain strong, and be even stronger if the U.S. Federal Reserve authorizes a
third round of quantitative easing, the governor of the central bank told
reporters Wednesday.
"Capital inflow may also come to countries that could give high return,"
Bank Indonesia Gov. Darmin Nasution said.
He said the central bank is preparing some anticipative steps to cope with
the expected influx.
On the movement of the local currency against the U.S. dollar, Nasution
said the central bank will stay "on guard against volatility of the rupiah on
the money market." He didn't elaborate.
12:02 DJ Bank Indonesia Governor: Capital Inflow To Remain Strong.
Rabu, 10 Agustus 2011
Rabu 10 Agustus 2011
11%3A31%26nbsp%3B+Clsa+call+%3Aremaind+bullish+on+coal%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A11%3A30%26nbsp%3B+The+Fed+will+be+forced+to+unleash+Q3+to+spur+US+growth.+As+the+damage+for+subrime+morgate+is+higher+than+previous+estimated.+this+action+will+contribute+more+capital+inflow+to+selected+emerging+markets.%0D%0A%0D%0ABLTA+genggam+pinjaman+US%24+685+juta+dari+enam+bank+asing%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A11%3A04%26nbsp%3B+REMINDER%3A%3A%3A+hari+ini+rups+CMNP%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A10%3A48%26nbsp%3B+Slumping+stocks+and+soaring+Treasury+bond+prices+have+stirred+memories+of+the+financial+crisis%2C+but+cr%14dit+m%60.kets+are+making+clear+this+is+not+2008+all+over+again.%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A10%3A21+%26nbsp%3Blab`wersih+INTA+pada+tahun+ini+diprediksi+akan+mencapai+Rp+155%2C8%0D%0A%26nbsp%3B+miliar+atau+naik+88%25+dibandig+tahu+lalu.+Distributor+alat-alat+berat+ini+juga%0D%0A%26nbsp%3B+menaikkan+target+pendapatannya+dari+Rp+2%2C7+triliun+menjadi+Rp+3+triliun.%0D%0A%0D%0A%0D%0A10008%26amp%3Bo%26gt%3BaP%3B+%22Insider+stoies%23%1A+Minggu+malam+saya+bertemu+dengan+seorang+fund+manager+yg+sgt+kredible+dan+reliable.+Pokok+pembicaraan+saya+mengenai+saham+di+bursa+global.Pada+pertengahan+diskusi%2Csaya+bertanya+mengenai+saham+bakrie+di+indonesia.+Ingat+waktu+krisis+2008+saham+bakrie+yg+menjadi+penyebab+market+suspend.+Dia+katakan+tidak+ada+masalah+dng+group+bakrie+karena+margin+broker+dan+repo+sudah+tdk+spt+dulu.dlm+pembicaraannya+dia+menyebutkan+saham+Enrg+dan+Doid+yg+menjadi+topik+hangat+kami.+1.+Enrg+-+dia+katakan+saham+ini+sudah+memiliki+foundamental+yg+sangat+bagus.+Enrg+dlm+bulan+lalu+selalu+mengadakan+roadshow+dan+analis+meeting.ada+yg+menarik+di+sini.dia+mengatakan+tdk+akan+lama+lagi+enrg+akan+menjual+sahamnya+melalui+NPRI+sebesar+10%25.+Peluang+terbesar+pembelinya+adalah+Nathaniel+Rotschild+yg+jg+telah+memiliki+saham+BRAU+dan+BUMI.+Lalu+saya+mencoba+mengamati+pergerakan+saham+enrg+selama+1+minggu+ini+yg+bergerak+dr+265+turun+ke+178.+Yg+membikin+ke+anehan+saya+adalah+dlm+setiap+moment+rebound%2Cenrg+selalu+menyentuh+level+200+dng+volume+yg+sgt+besar.hingga+saya+melakukan+investigasi+kembali+dng+nara+sumber+yg+related+dng+bakrie.+Ada+sebuah+berita+yg+mengejutkan.+Memang+aksi+tsb+sedang+di+matangkan+krn+harga+jual+enrg+berkisar.+Antara+275+-300+at+premium+jk+di+banding+dng+market+yg+koreksi.+Jd+ada+kepentingannya+saham+ini+harus+di+jaga+pd+level+250+kembali.%0D%0A2.+Doid+-+saya+bertanya+kpdnya.+Kenapa+saham+doid+turun+melebihi+harga+right+issue+pd+harga+rp+900.+dia+mengatakan+Doid+adalah+penambang+terbesar+ke+2+melalui+Buma.+Laporan+keuangan+2q+yg+menjadikan+bnyk+orng+kecewa.+Tp+perlu+di+ingat+bahwa+pencatatan+kerugian+di+2q+itu+adalah+capex+doid+di+tahun+ini+yg+sangat+besar+beserta+pembagian+bonus+untk+direksi.+Pembelian+traktor+yg+baru+dng+menggantikan+traktor+lama+membuat+neraca+di+bukunya+sangat+tinggi.+Tetapi+pd+Q3+ini+sptnya+manajement+doid+akan+meminta+pendapat+akuntan+untk+melakukan+opini+review+yg+mana+sangat+memungkinkan.+Perlu+di+ingat+pemegang+saham+doid+adalah+%3B+Northstar%2CTpg%2CGIC%2CCic.+Mana+ada+saham%26nbsp%3B+di+indonesia+yg%26nbsp%3B%26nbsp%3B+pemegang+sahamnya+di+miliki+oleh+share+holder+papan+atas+dunia%3F+Saya+mencoba+melakukan+observasi+saham+ini.+Memang+ketika+dia+mengeluarkan+2q+saham+ini+turun+tajam.+Tp+anehnya+pd+waktu+index+turun+tajam+justru+saya+melihat+beberapa+broker+yg+menjual+saham+ini+justru+membeli+kembali.%0D%0A%0D%0A---------------------------------------------------------------------%0D%0A%0D%0AWednesday+Early+BIRD+Fundamental+Prespective+%28Edwin+Sebayang-MNC+Securites%29.%0D%0A%0D%0A%22..Only+One+Word+From+ES+today%3A+HAJAR+KANAN..%22%0D%0A%0D%0Hanya+k+kata+yang+ES+ingin+jelaskan+dalam+Early+BIRD+edisi+Rabu+ini+yakni+STRONG+BUY+alias+HAJAR+KANAN+%28spt%3A+AKRA%2C+ASII%2C+UNTR%2C+BBRI%2C+BMRI%29+setelah+semalam+Dow+Jones+NAIK+TAJAM+%2B430+poin+mengingat+banyaknya+saham+berfundamental+bagus+mjd+SUPER+SANGAT+MURAH+sejak+awal+tahun+2010+utk+dijadikan+Target+BUY+krn+kejatuhan+bbrp+hari+kemarin+TIDAK+MASUK+DIAKAL+bagi+ES+mengingat+bagusnya+fundamental+emiten+Indonesia+dan+kuatnya+makro+ekonomi+Indonesia.%0D%0A%0D%0AWall+Street+ditutup+NAIK+TAJAM+Selas+%289%2F8%29.+dimana+Dow+Jones+NAIK+TAJAM+%2B4%25+%28%2B430+poin%29+bahkan+Nasdaq+NAIK+LEBIH+TAJAM+%2B5.3%25disertai+dengan+Turunnya+Indeks+Ketakutan+Investor%2C+The+CBOE+Volatility+Index%2C+yg+turun+-25%25+menjadikan+kenaikan+semalam+mjd+kenaikan+tertajam+one+day+trade+sejak+Mei+2010+terutama+setelah+The+Fed+mengatakan+akan+mempertahankan+suku+bunga+rendah+sampai+pertengahan+tahun+2013.%0D%0A%0D%0AHarga+emas+juga+naik+tajam+%2B%2B1.6%25+mencetak+harga+tertinggi+baru+mjd+USD1740%2Founce+dlm+3+hari+rally+sejak+krisis+keuangan+akhir+2008+%0D%0A%0D%0ADOW+11239.77+%2B3.98%25%0D%0ANAS+2482.52+%2B5.29%25%0D%0AS%26amp%3BP+1172.53%26nbsp%3B+%2B4.74%25%0D%0AOIL+81.70%26nbsp%3B+%2B0.48%25%0D%0AGOLD+1740.4%26nbsp%3B+%2B1.59%25%0D%0ANICKEL.21205.+-0.21+%25%0D%0ATIN+22775.%26nbsp%3B%26nbsp%3B+%2B1.2%25%0D%0ACPO.2970.%26nbsp%3B%26nbsp%3B+-3.54%25%0D%0ATLK.33.92%26nbsp%3B%26nbsp%3B%26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Selasa, 09 Agustus 2011
Selasa 9 Agustus 2011
15:45 riots in london
15:31 REMINDER::: Malam ini ada FOMC Statement dan Federan Funds Rate,
15:24 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-09/german-june-exports-drop-adding-to-signs-of-economic-slowdown.html
15:13 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-08/bernanke-may-move-to-lift-confidence-on-concern-u-s-heading-for-recession.html
14:20 Dow fut: +290
14:10 Eropa+ 1.5 pct
14:08 Dow Fut + 224
13:48 *DJ Bank Indonesia: Economic Growth Likely To Accelerate
*DJ Bank Indonesia Forecasts 3Q GDP To Grow 6.6% On Year
13:45 dow fut plus 79
13:41 DJ Bank Indonesia Keeps Overnight Benchmark Rate At 6.75%
13:38 erawati: Jababeka (KIJA IJ) to embark on two corporate actions:
* Placements. KIJA is seeking approval for two private placements: US$110-150m note exchangeable into shares of the 100%-owned subsidiary, Jababeka Infrastructure, and US$40m senior note issuance.
* To acquire Tanjung Lesung beach resorts (1,340ha). This will cost Rp1.5tn or US$170m, and will be from a rights issue in the near future, which means 67% of current mkt cap. We are not sure why the company goes into resort development from being an industrial estate play. (clsa-kz)
13:11 Dow fut plus.. S and P plus.. Hanseng minus 2.86 pct...
11:48 High Frequency Traders Manipulating the Nasty Sell-Off?
jangan jangan kasus FLASH CRASH ke ulang kembali di DOW kemarin
YG JUALAN PAKE MESIN
11:45
australia ijo
Taiwan ijo
15:31 REMINDER::: Malam ini ada FOMC Statement dan Federan Funds Rate,
15:24 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-09/german-june-exports-drop-adding-to-signs-of-economic-slowdown.html
15:13 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-08/bernanke-may-move-to-lift-confidence-on-concern-u-s-heading-for-recession.html
14:20 Dow fut: +290
14:10 Eropa+ 1.5 pct
14:08 Dow Fut + 224
13:48 *DJ Bank Indonesia: Economic Growth Likely To Accelerate
*DJ Bank Indonesia Forecasts 3Q GDP To Grow 6.6% On Year
13:45 dow fut plus 79
13:41 DJ Bank Indonesia Keeps Overnight Benchmark Rate At 6.75%
13:38 erawati: Jababeka (KIJA IJ) to embark on two corporate actions:
* Placements. KIJA is seeking approval for two private placements: US$110-150m note exchangeable into shares of the 100%-owned subsidiary, Jababeka Infrastructure, and US$40m senior note issuance.
* To acquire Tanjung Lesung beach resorts (1,340ha). This will cost Rp1.5tn or US$170m, and will be from a rights issue in the near future, which means 67% of current mkt cap. We are not sure why the company goes into resort development from being an industrial estate play. (clsa-kz)
13:11 Dow fut plus.. S and P plus.. Hanseng minus 2.86 pct...
11:48 High Frequency Traders Manipulating the Nasty Sell-Off?
jangan jangan kasus FLASH CRASH ke ulang kembali di DOW kemarin
YG JUALAN PAKE MESIN
11:45
australia ijo
Taiwan ijo
Selasa 9 Agustus 2011
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Senin, 08 Agustus 2011
Senin 8 Agustus 2011
15:52 REMINDER::: Lippo Cikarang (LPCK.IJ, BUY) – Hidden jewel
We are reinitiating coverage on Lippo Cikarang with a BUY recommendation and a target price Rp2,400, which offers 105% upside potential. A well-known industrial estate developer in eastern Jakarta, the company is the main beneficiary of the rising inflow of foreign direct investment in Indonesia. Low valuation multiples, a deep discount to NAV, and strong land sales in a mid-cycle industrial estate boom have strengthened our conviction about the stock.
Analyst
Ricardo Silaen, CFA
rsilaen@kimeng.co.id
15:31 Petualangan M Nazaruddin berakhir. Pria yang sukses membuat suhu politik di Indonesia mendidih itu kini telah tertangkap. Nazaruddin dibekuk Interpol saat hendak keluar dari Kolombia.
"Ditangkapnya saat yang bersangkutan akan keluar dari negara itu," kata Menko Polhukuma Djoko Suyanto saat menggelar jumpa pers di kantor presiden, Jalan Medan Merdeka Utara, Jakarta, Senin (8/8/2011).
15:14 Bank Sentral Eropa (ECB) mulai Senin akan membeli atas obligasi Spanyol dan Italy, sementara Korea Selatan, Jepang plus G-20 countries mengatakan tetap percaya atas instrument keuangan AS dan akan mem-back up sepenuhnya.
Warren Buffett mengatakan, perekonomian AS tdk akan kembali terkena resesi lagi. "Sangat jelas apa yang terjadi di pasar saham karena kepercayaan dan aksi jual itu karena kurangnya kepercayaan," kata Chairman dan Chief Executive Officer Berkshire Hathaway Inc ini adlh pemegang saham terbesar Moody's Corp, induk usaha lembaga rating Mood'ys Investor Service. Buffett mengakui tidak bergantung pd rating yg dibuat perusahaan tertentu jk ingin bertransaksi.
Yang terpenting adlh apa dampak US Downgrade terhadap Indonesia? melihat dgn pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia Q 2/2011 mencapai 6.5%, Ekspor Juni tertinggi dlm sejarah dan sdh berada diatas USD200 miliar, Cadangan devisa mencapai USD122.7 miliar & rata2 pertumbuhan EPS Q2/2011 yg mencapai 25% maka diperkirakan Bursa Indonesia dpt bertahan dr volatility tajam yg terjadi Senin, terlebih pilihan tempat bagi Hedge Fund/Fund Manager asing utk berinvestasi semakin terbatas dan Indonesia adlh salah satu yg mereka tuju shg tidak heran, seperti yg dikatakan Dr. Rahmat Waluyanto-Dirjend Surat Utang Negara-Depkeu, Indonesia akan kebanjiran Capital Inflow.
Jk tjd aksi panic selling, gunakan kesempatan tsb utk Buy saham krn berdasarkan 2 kali pengalaman, Subprime Mortgage dan Kasus Lehman Brothers, Bursa Indonesia justru membukukan kenaikan Bursa tertinggi didunia.
14:31 DJ Stoxx Europe 600 Now Positive +0.7%; Banks Lead The Gains
14:29 DJ UPDATE: G-20 Nations Say Ready For Joint Action To Stabilize Markets
-- G-20 finance ministers, central bank heads issue joint communique
-- G-20 nations ready to take coordinated action to stabilize markets
-- G-20 nations agree euro-zone efforts to contain sovereign debt problems
need to be implemented as fast as possible, said South Korea's deputy finance
minister
(Updates with comments from G-20 communique in third paragraph, comments
from South Korea Deputy Finance Minister about G-20 discussions, Korea's
position on Treasurys and foreign capital flows in fourth-seventh paragraphs)
By Se Young Lee Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
14:11 DOW fut minus 142
14:07 hangseng minusnya berkurang menjadi minus 2.4
14:06 Tasrul Tanar: ayo belanja
13:53 S+p -22 dr -32
13:52 hangseng minus berkurang skrg minus 3.17 pct td 4 pct
13:23 Group of Seven nations sought to head off a collapse in investor confidence after the U.S. sovereign- rating cut and a slump in Italian and Spanish debt intensified threats to the global economy.
G-7 finance ministers and central bank governors pledged in a statement to “take all necessary measures to support financial stability and growth.” Officials will inject liquidity and act against disorderly currency moves as needed, they said after a call late yesterday European time.
13:15 follow Asian markets lower at the open following S&P's downgrade of US government debt, but losses are likely limited by hopes the ECB will move to buy Italian and Spanish debt.
12:03 Saham korea selatan di suspend setelah turun 7%..apakah jurus warrent buffet berlaku?takut di saat orang berani dan berani di saat org takut? http://m.cnbc.com/breaking_news/44053454/1
11:21 F net sale 379 M
10:51 (Dow Jones)--The Group of 20 leading economies will issue statements Monday in France regarding its commitment to preventing "panic" in global financial markets following Friday's one-notch cut in U.S. creditworthiness by Standard & Poor's, an Indonesian government official said Monday.
Bambang Brodjonegoro, head of the fiscal policy board at the Ministry of Finance, also said the G-20 "appreciates all the measures taken by the U.S. and European governments" to address any problems stemming from the downgrade.
10:12 F netsale 286 M
10:11 nikkei minus 121.
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Maaf internet putus tadi pagi..
We are reinitiating coverage on Lippo Cikarang with a BUY recommendation and a target price Rp2,400, which offers 105% upside potential. A well-known industrial estate developer in eastern Jakarta, the company is the main beneficiary of the rising inflow of foreign direct investment in Indonesia. Low valuation multiples, a deep discount to NAV, and strong land sales in a mid-cycle industrial estate boom have strengthened our conviction about the stock.
Analyst
Ricardo Silaen, CFA
rsilaen@kimeng.co.id
15:31 Petualangan M Nazaruddin berakhir. Pria yang sukses membuat suhu politik di Indonesia mendidih itu kini telah tertangkap. Nazaruddin dibekuk Interpol saat hendak keluar dari Kolombia.
"Ditangkapnya saat yang bersangkutan akan keluar dari negara itu," kata Menko Polhukuma Djoko Suyanto saat menggelar jumpa pers di kantor presiden, Jalan Medan Merdeka Utara, Jakarta, Senin (8/8/2011).
15:14 Bank Sentral Eropa (ECB) mulai Senin akan membeli atas obligasi Spanyol dan Italy, sementara Korea Selatan, Jepang plus G-20 countries mengatakan tetap percaya atas instrument keuangan AS dan akan mem-back up sepenuhnya.
Warren Buffett mengatakan, perekonomian AS tdk akan kembali terkena resesi lagi. "Sangat jelas apa yang terjadi di pasar saham karena kepercayaan dan aksi jual itu karena kurangnya kepercayaan," kata Chairman dan Chief Executive Officer Berkshire Hathaway Inc ini adlh pemegang saham terbesar Moody's Corp, induk usaha lembaga rating Mood'ys Investor Service. Buffett mengakui tidak bergantung pd rating yg dibuat perusahaan tertentu jk ingin bertransaksi.
Yang terpenting adlh apa dampak US Downgrade terhadap Indonesia? melihat dgn pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia Q 2/2011 mencapai 6.5%, Ekspor Juni tertinggi dlm sejarah dan sdh berada diatas USD200 miliar, Cadangan devisa mencapai USD122.7 miliar & rata2 pertumbuhan EPS Q2/2011 yg mencapai 25% maka diperkirakan Bursa Indonesia dpt bertahan dr volatility tajam yg terjadi Senin, terlebih pilihan tempat bagi Hedge Fund/Fund Manager asing utk berinvestasi semakin terbatas dan Indonesia adlh salah satu yg mereka tuju shg tidak heran, seperti yg dikatakan Dr. Rahmat Waluyanto-Dirjend Surat Utang Negara-Depkeu, Indonesia akan kebanjiran Capital Inflow.
Jk tjd aksi panic selling, gunakan kesempatan tsb utk Buy saham krn berdasarkan 2 kali pengalaman, Subprime Mortgage dan Kasus Lehman Brothers, Bursa Indonesia justru membukukan kenaikan Bursa tertinggi didunia.
14:31 DJ Stoxx Europe 600 Now Positive +0.7%; Banks Lead The Gains
14:29 DJ UPDATE: G-20 Nations Say Ready For Joint Action To Stabilize Markets
-- G-20 finance ministers, central bank heads issue joint communique
-- G-20 nations ready to take coordinated action to stabilize markets
-- G-20 nations agree euro-zone efforts to contain sovereign debt problems
need to be implemented as fast as possible, said South Korea's deputy finance
minister
(Updates with comments from G-20 communique in third paragraph, comments
from South Korea Deputy Finance Minister about G-20 discussions, Korea's
position on Treasurys and foreign capital flows in fourth-seventh paragraphs)
By Se Young Lee Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
14:11 DOW fut minus 142
14:07 hangseng minusnya berkurang menjadi minus 2.4
14:06 Tasrul Tanar: ayo belanja
13:53 S+p -22 dr -32
13:52 hangseng minus berkurang skrg minus 3.17 pct td 4 pct
13:23 Group of Seven nations sought to head off a collapse in investor confidence after the U.S. sovereign- rating cut and a slump in Italian and Spanish debt intensified threats to the global economy.
G-7 finance ministers and central bank governors pledged in a statement to “take all necessary measures to support financial stability and growth.” Officials will inject liquidity and act against disorderly currency moves as needed, they said after a call late yesterday European time.
13:15 follow Asian markets lower at the open following S&P's downgrade of US government debt, but losses are likely limited by hopes the ECB will move to buy Italian and Spanish debt.
12:03 Saham korea selatan di suspend setelah turun 7%..apakah jurus warrent buffet berlaku?takut di saat orang berani dan berani di saat org takut? http://m.cnbc.com/breaking_news/44053454/1
11:21 F net sale 379 M
10:51 (Dow Jones)--The Group of 20 leading economies will issue statements Monday in France regarding its commitment to preventing "panic" in global financial markets following Friday's one-notch cut in U.S. creditworthiness by Standard & Poor's, an Indonesian government official said Monday.
Bambang Brodjonegoro, head of the fiscal policy board at the Ministry of Finance, also said the G-20 "appreciates all the measures taken by the U.S. and European governments" to address any problems stemming from the downgrade.
10:12 F netsale 286 M
10:11 nikkei minus 121.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Maaf internet putus tadi pagi..
Jumat, 05 Agustus 2011
Jum'at 5 Agustus 2011
15:13 http://finance.detik.com/read/2011/08/05/143528/1697507/6/indeks-saham-anjlok-sby-gelar-rapat-kabinet-dadakan?f9911013
14:57 S and P fut plus 2
14:48 S and P fut minus cuma 1.6
14:29 DJ Indonesia Econ Chief: No Need To Panic; Falls In Stocks, Rupiah Temporary
11:11 Morgan Stanley James Gorman rupanya
orang yang sangat faham berinvestasi di pasar modal. Buktinya, di saat bursa
Wall Street sedang anjlok, Gorman malah belanja besar-besaran.
Gorman merogoh koceknya sebesar US$ 2,06 juta untuk membeli saham
perusahaanya. Ketika itu, harga sahamnya mencapai titik terendah sejak Maret
2009. Dalam informasi yang disampaikan ke Bapepam Amerika Serikat, US
Securities and Exchange Commission, Gorman membeli 100.000 saham dengan harga
rata-rata sebesar US$ 20,62.
Nilai transaksi Gorman ini lebih besar dari bonus berupa uang tunai yang
diterimanya pada 2010 lalu. Dengan pembelian ini, Gorman memeluk 955.370 saham
senilai US$ 18,8 juta.
Asal tahu saja, harga saham Morgan Stanley telah melorot 28% tahun ini.
11:00 asing net sell 668 bio
10:05 Stocks to BUY when market is near bottom: Blue chips with strong market leadership such as Astra International, United Tractors, Bank Rakyat, BCA, Bank Mandiri, Unilever, Semen Gresik, Indocement, Bumi Resources. (kim eng)
Where to hide: Infrastructure play and defensive (or perceived to be defensive) stocks are the place to hide (not bullet proof though). BCA, Gudang Garam, Indofood Consumer Branded Products (ICBP), Unilever, Telkom, Indosat, PGas, Jasa Marga are seen as defensive while our preferred infrastructure related stocks are Jasa Marga, Indocement, Semen Gresik.
10:00 Dengan koreksi tajam indeks ini (DJIA) terlihat membuat indeks ini akan mencapai strong support area antara level 11,418.4 - 11,232.7. Indikator MFI Optimized saat ini pada skal 1.6 (skala 0 - 100) dan MACD Optimized juga memperlihatkan kemungkinan akan tertahan di support trendline.
09:12 Shanghai membaik..now cuma down 1.67%
09:10 Indonesia 2Q GDP +6.5% On Year; Mkt Expected +6.47%
Indonesia 2Q GDP +2.9% On Quarter; Mkt Expected +2.82
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nota kecil : (1) ECB, agresif beli bonds di pasar sekunder (2) unemployment US, dlm rentang yg wajar. (3) US earning growth, beat analyst, (4) earning growth jsx antara 25-30%, dengan inflasi dan GDP stabil..(5) posisi investor global sdg cash.....krn penjualan...
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Strategi menghadapi Panic Selling spt hari ini: Bersihkan Margin alias jangan pake margin, kalo ada saham yg profit atau cuan lakukan Sell dulu dan yang paling penting kalo punya dana segar dingin, lakukan Buy on Weakness (BOW) karena kondisi ekonomi Indonesia dan emitennya saat ini jauh lebih kuat dan berbeda jauh dgn AS atau Eropa (ES-MNC Securities/disclaimer on)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dow Sinks 500, Worst Day Since Dec. 2008
CNBC.com | August 04, 2011 | 04:00 PM EDT
Stocks plunged sharply Thursday, with the Dow down more than 500 points, in the biggest selloff since May 2010. All three major averages tumbled into negative territory for the year as investors were rattled over an intensifying global economic slowdown and ahead of the widely-followed monthly unemployment report.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted more than 450 points, led by Alcoa [ AA 12.94  -1.32 (-9.26%) ] and BofA [ BAC 8.83  -0.71 (-7.44%) ]. The blue-chip index fell into "correction territory," defined by a drop of 10 percent from its peak from its intraday high in May. The last time the Dow dropped more than 400 points in a single session was in Dec. 2008.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also dipped into correction mode. And all three major indices are currently trading in negative territory for the year.
The CBOE Volatility Index, widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, surged more than 30 percent to trade near 32.
"We're not steering this bus—it's all coming from Europe," Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS Financial Services told CNBC. "We’re hearing reports of funds drawing out of European banks and we’re pretty close to something that might turn ugly."
"It may translate into a strain on the financials system and earnings on the multinationals, which have been carrying the load for Wall Street," Cashin added.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dear all,
Renegosiasi yang diminta oleh BP MIgas terkait dengan harga pembelian gas dari kontraktor kontrak kerja sama migas menurut kami merupakan salah satu langkah yang tepat yang dilakukan pemerintah untuk memperbaiki harga gas domestik dan tentunya berdampak positif bagi pendapatan negara. Namun demikian hal ini direspon negatif oleh publik yang mewakili 43.04% pemegang saham PT Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk (PGAS). Saham PGAS pada Kamis (4/8) ditutup melemah 5.88% atau melemah 10% dibandingkan pada perdagangan Selasa (2/8/11) yang ditutup pada harga Rp4.000 per saham. Ditengah belum rilisnya laporan keuangan PGAS kuartal pertama 2011, kami tetap merekomendasikan BELI saham PGAS dengan target price 12 bulan kedepan Rp 4.700 per saham. Secara teknikal, PGAS saat ini masih dalam tekanan jual yang besar dilihat dari koreksi 2 hari terakhir diikuti dengan volume yang besar walaupun dari pergerakan indikator PGAS mulai memasuki area oversold, candlestick telah keluar dari area lower Bollinger Band sementara RSI sudah memasuki area oversold. Saat ini PGAS sedang menguji area Support pertamanya di 3600 sementara Support keduanya berada di 3475. Akumulasi pembelian secara bertahap dapat dilakukan pada area Support tersebut, sementara Resistance pertama dan kedua berada di 3750 dan 3900.(Disclaimer ON)
14:57 S and P fut plus 2
14:48 S and P fut minus cuma 1.6
14:29 DJ Indonesia Econ Chief: No Need To Panic; Falls In Stocks, Rupiah Temporary
11:11 Morgan Stanley James Gorman rupanya
orang yang sangat faham berinvestasi di pasar modal. Buktinya, di saat bursa
Wall Street sedang anjlok, Gorman malah belanja besar-besaran.
Gorman merogoh koceknya sebesar US$ 2,06 juta untuk membeli saham
perusahaanya. Ketika itu, harga sahamnya mencapai titik terendah sejak Maret
2009. Dalam informasi yang disampaikan ke Bapepam Amerika Serikat, US
Securities and Exchange Commission, Gorman membeli 100.000 saham dengan harga
rata-rata sebesar US$ 20,62.
Nilai transaksi Gorman ini lebih besar dari bonus berupa uang tunai yang
diterimanya pada 2010 lalu. Dengan pembelian ini, Gorman memeluk 955.370 saham
senilai US$ 18,8 juta.
Asal tahu saja, harga saham Morgan Stanley telah melorot 28% tahun ini.
11:00 asing net sell 668 bio
10:05 Stocks to BUY when market is near bottom: Blue chips with strong market leadership such as Astra International, United Tractors, Bank Rakyat, BCA, Bank Mandiri, Unilever, Semen Gresik, Indocement, Bumi Resources. (kim eng)
Where to hide: Infrastructure play and defensive (or perceived to be defensive) stocks are the place to hide (not bullet proof though). BCA, Gudang Garam, Indofood Consumer Branded Products (ICBP), Unilever, Telkom, Indosat, PGas, Jasa Marga are seen as defensive while our preferred infrastructure related stocks are Jasa Marga, Indocement, Semen Gresik.
10:00 Dengan koreksi tajam indeks ini (DJIA) terlihat membuat indeks ini akan mencapai strong support area antara level 11,418.4 - 11,232.7. Indikator MFI Optimized saat ini pada skal 1.6 (skala 0 - 100) dan MACD Optimized juga memperlihatkan kemungkinan akan tertahan di support trendline.
09:12 Shanghai membaik..now cuma down 1.67%
09:10 Indonesia 2Q GDP +6.5% On Year; Mkt Expected +6.47%
Indonesia 2Q GDP +2.9% On Quarter; Mkt Expected +2.82
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nota kecil : (1) ECB, agresif beli bonds di pasar sekunder (2) unemployment US, dlm rentang yg wajar. (3) US earning growth, beat analyst, (4) earning growth jsx antara 25-30%, dengan inflasi dan GDP stabil..(5) posisi investor global sdg cash.....krn penjualan...
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Strategi menghadapi Panic Selling spt hari ini: Bersihkan Margin alias jangan pake margin, kalo ada saham yg profit atau cuan lakukan Sell dulu dan yang paling penting kalo punya dana segar dingin, lakukan Buy on Weakness (BOW) karena kondisi ekonomi Indonesia dan emitennya saat ini jauh lebih kuat dan berbeda jauh dgn AS atau Eropa (ES-MNC Securities/disclaimer on)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dow Sinks 500, Worst Day Since Dec. 2008
CNBC.com | August 04, 2011 | 04:00 PM EDT
Stocks plunged sharply Thursday, with the Dow down more than 500 points, in the biggest selloff since May 2010. All three major averages tumbled into negative territory for the year as investors were rattled over an intensifying global economic slowdown and ahead of the widely-followed monthly unemployment report.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted more than 450 points, led by Alcoa [ AA 12.94  -1.32 (-9.26%) ] and BofA [ BAC 8.83  -0.71 (-7.44%) ]. The blue-chip index fell into "correction territory," defined by a drop of 10 percent from its peak from its intraday high in May. The last time the Dow dropped more than 400 points in a single session was in Dec. 2008.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also dipped into correction mode. And all three major indices are currently trading in negative territory for the year.
The CBOE Volatility Index, widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, surged more than 30 percent to trade near 32.
"We're not steering this bus—it's all coming from Europe," Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS Financial Services told CNBC. "We’re hearing reports of funds drawing out of European banks and we’re pretty close to something that might turn ugly."
"It may translate into a strain on the financials system and earnings on the multinationals, which have been carrying the load for Wall Street," Cashin added.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dear all,
Renegosiasi yang diminta oleh BP MIgas terkait dengan harga pembelian gas dari kontraktor kontrak kerja sama migas menurut kami merupakan salah satu langkah yang tepat yang dilakukan pemerintah untuk memperbaiki harga gas domestik dan tentunya berdampak positif bagi pendapatan negara. Namun demikian hal ini direspon negatif oleh publik yang mewakili 43.04% pemegang saham PT Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk (PGAS). Saham PGAS pada Kamis (4/8) ditutup melemah 5.88% atau melemah 10% dibandingkan pada perdagangan Selasa (2/8/11) yang ditutup pada harga Rp4.000 per saham. Ditengah belum rilisnya laporan keuangan PGAS kuartal pertama 2011, kami tetap merekomendasikan BELI saham PGAS dengan target price 12 bulan kedepan Rp 4.700 per saham. Secara teknikal, PGAS saat ini masih dalam tekanan jual yang besar dilihat dari koreksi 2 hari terakhir diikuti dengan volume yang besar walaupun dari pergerakan indikator PGAS mulai memasuki area oversold, candlestick telah keluar dari area lower Bollinger Band sementara RSI sudah memasuki area oversold. Saat ini PGAS sedang menguji area Support pertamanya di 3600 sementara Support keduanya berada di 3475. Akumulasi pembelian secara bertahap dapat dilakukan pada area Support tersebut, sementara Resistance pertama dan kedua berada di 3750 dan 3900.(Disclaimer ON)
Kamis, 04 Agustus 2011
Kamis, 4 Agustus 2011
Teknikal Dow Jones :
Target Double Top dari Dow sdh tercapai di sekitar 11,866,
dan tadi malam sempat minus -126, dan berhasil di tutup +29,82. sehingga membentuk candle long leg hammer, ini tanda early signal reversal/rebound yg kuat.
disamping resist2 yg disebutkan kemaren, resist gede ada di 12,300 yg merupakan neckline dari double top di atas.
semoga bermanfaat.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
15:42 RX covers Property ASRI 400 BSDE 1200 CTRA 550 ELTY 159 SMRA 1450
15:03 Laba SIPD naik 41.57% semester 1 dr 15.16m menjadi 21.46 m
14:49 SIPD....GO GO GO
14:48 asing net sale 391 M cuma banyak di PGAS
14:46 Tasrul ADMG akan test sekitar level 720, resistance saat ini di level 940. Indikator sudah berada di oversold area.
14:33 EROPA :
Setelah penutupan perdagangan Rabu kemarin, Perdana Menteri Italia, Silvio Berlusconi menjabarkan kondisi ekonomi Italia dengan menegaskan akan meningkatkan pertumbuhan ekonomi negeri pizza tersebut.
Namun Presiden Uni Eropa, Jose-Manuel Barroso meminta negara anggota Uni Eropa untuk meratifikasi melawan krisis dengan langkah-langkah baru yang disepakati .
EROPA IJO...
14:14 Bond unt Panjang FR42, 52, 56 tidak turun ya
11:46 (T) PGAS : support 3500-3550, jk break target 3000.. (Note : Ekspektasi break).
11:25 (TLKM IJ / TLKM.JK, NEUTRAL - Maintained, Rp7,550 - Tgt. Rp7,800, Telecommunications - Integrated)
We maintain our recently-upgraded NEUTRAL recommendation, forecast and Rp7,800 target price for Telkom following its conference call. The telco reaffirmed its FY11 guidance, which implies that it expects a more robust growth in 2H. This is in line with our expectations, as we expect 3Q to be bolstered by the Ramadan festivities. However, the company also said it expects SMS revenues to be cannibalised by instant messaging down the road, echoing XL Axiata. The only uncertainty, in our view, is how quickly this substitution will take place.
11:21 INILAH.COM, Jakarta - Tambang Batu Hijau milik PT Newmont Nusa Tenggara, anak usaha PT Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS), tutup untuk sementara dengan waktu yang tidak ditentukan karena adanya pemblokiran oleh sejumlah pendemo terhadap akses ke tambang.
Hal ini terjadi akibat ketidakpuasan proses penerimaan sejumlah calon pekerja. Dari 5.500 pelamar hanya 230 posisi yang tersedia. Sementara, Newmont Denver melaporkan penurunan produksi emas dan tembaga masing-masing 70% YoY dan 56% YoY menjadi 26 ribu ounce emas dan 28 juta pound tembaga.
Menurut Samuel Sekuritas, penurunan produksi akan berakibat pada nilai bottom-line Newmont sehingga ada kemungkinan bahwa tidak ada/berkurangnya pembagian dividen oleh Newmont untuk pemegang saham.
11:00 BUMI HD paling tinggal 10 ribu lageee
asing net sale 172 M
10:57 Direktur Sinarmas Sekuritas, Hermawan Hosein, tidak membantah data itu. Dia bahkan menyebutkan, total dana kelolaan Danamas Stabil hampir mencapai Rp 3 triliun. Dus, porsi saham ELTY setara 20,27% terhadap total dana kelolaan Danamas Stabil.
Ini memperlihatkan bahwa kebijakan penempatan dana kelolaan Danamas Stabil di saham ELTY melanggar Peraturan Badan Pengawas Pasar Modal Lembaga Keuangan (Bapepam LK) Nomor IV.B.1 tentang Pedoman Pengelolaan Reksadana Berbentuk Kontrak Investasi Kolektif.
Beleid itu melarang MI menempatkan 10% dana kelolaan reksadana di efek yang diterbitkan satu perusahaan.
Kepala Biro Pengelolaan Investasi Bapepam-LK, Djoko Hendratto, menegaskan lembaganya akan menjatuhkan sanksi tegas bagi MI yang melanggar aturan kepemilikan portofolio reksadana.
Sanksi akan dijatuhkan apabila MI masih menyimpan lebih dari 10% dananya selama 10 hari berturut-turut. Bapepam akan meminta MI mengubah portofolionya. Jika belum dipenuhi, MI akan dipanggil ke Bapepam dan tak boleh menjual produk itu lagi karena tidak sesuai dengan kebijakan investasi di prospektus. "Jika masih tidak mau juga, produk reksadana itu bisa dibubarkan," ungkap Djoko.
Tapi, kata Djoko, MI umumnya menyiasati aturan itu dengan mengubah portofolionya sebelum 10 hari sehingga terhindar dari sanksi. "Bisa saja sebelum 10 hari portofolionya sudah berubah," tutur dia.
Presiden Direktur Sinarmas Sekuritas, Kokarjadi Chandra, mengaku belum memeriksa porfolionya. "Mungkin ada, tapi untuk investasi jangka pendek. Nanti saya cek dulu," tutur dia kepada KONTAN.
Hermawan menimpali, kemungkinan ada kekeliruan dalam penempatan dana tersebut. "Tapi segera akan kami selesaikan," ujar dia lewat pesan singkat.
10:51 Astra Agro Target Cut To IDR26,700 Vs IDR32,150 By UBS
10:21 Saham PT Intraco Penta Tbk (INTA) mencetak rekor tertinggi, setelah dikabarkan bakal merampungkan rencana akuisisi dua tambang batubara pada kuartal keempat tahun ini.
10:07 asing net sale 104 M
10:05 di koran kontan hari ini ada berita salah satu reksadana punya sinarmas, dana kelolaan sekitar 3T, 600 Milyar nya isinya saham ELTY, artinya mencapai 20%.. ini menyalahi aturan bapepam , karena maximal hanya boleh 10%.. dari 2 minggu ini LG banyak sekali buang ELTY, sudah sekitar 1 juta lot atau sekitar 80 M....
09:47 Bisnis Indonesia daily reported that Upstream Oil & Gas Regulator (BP Migas Hulu) has requested Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS.IJ) and its gas suppliers to renegotiate their contracts on gas pricing. The government complains that Perusahaan Gas’ purchase prices from some suppliers are too low. It mentions that currently Perusahaan Gas still has gas contracts with purchase price as low as US$1.8/mmbtu, compared to current domestic price of US$5.5/mmbtu.
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PERSONAL VIEW(2) on 04.08.11
Setelah terkena imbas sentimen negatif regional, IHSG ditutup melemah 0.98% menjadi 4136.50 dgn dukungan value(Rp.5.6Tn) & volume (834Milyar saham) yg cukup kuat. Foreign investor melakukan nett sell sebesar Rp. 539 Milyar diikuti dgn koreksi tipis 0.15% mjd Rp. 8489 utk nilai tukar Rupiah thdp dolar AS.
Proyeksi technical rebound hari ini dgn rentang pergerakan indeks 4107-4185.Rekomendasi agar tetap mengakumulasi saham berfundamental positif yg didukung oleh teknikal support yg tertata dgn baik. Saham2 BUMN berkapitalisasi bsr akan menjadi pilihan utama dlm urutan portfolio sbg underlying asset utama utk mid-longterm investment. Perhatikan saham PGAS yg kmrn terkoreksi 4%.
Saham dari sektor Manufacture(ASII, IMAS, AUTO), Mining(ADRO,PTBA,BUMI,ITMG, HRUM, PGAS) , Consumer Goods (INDF, UNVR, GGRM,KLBF), Finance(BBRI, BMRI, BBNI, BBCA) & Infrastructure(JSMR, ,SMGR, TLKM). Saham second liner yg msh berpotensi naik & melanjutkan rebound: MASA,CPIN, ENRG, ELTY,BRMS, POLY,BKSL.
JCI for today:
Support: 4075; 4095
Resistance: 4175; 4200
USD/IDR: 8460-8495
"Selamat berkarya & berinvestasi...."
(By: Cynthia. Source: BN, CNBC, BI, Kontan)
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PERSONAL VIEW(1) on 04.08.11
Setelah nyaris 9hari berturut-turut DOW, S&P, Nasdaq terkoreksi tajam, akhir sesi2 perdagangan ditutup rebound pd level psikologis. DOW +0.25%, S&P +0.50%, Nasdaq +0.89% yg dibuka dgn -1.5%. Segala daya dilakukan utk mengantisipasi akselerasi perkembangan polemik 'resesi' yg mewabah dgn cepat meracuni mind set pelaku pasar.
Penandatanganan 'bill' penangkis default hutang o/ Presiden Obama yg membuat pemeringkat hutang Moody's & Fitch mengkonfirmasikan utk tetap mempertahan kan rating AAA bagi hutang AS msh membuat banyak investor parno atas krisis finansial baik yg terjadi maupun di AS maupun di Zona Eropa ditambah kekhawatiran atas snowball impact yg akan terjadi. Result dari S&P akan dirilis pd akhir bulan ini. Sbg catatan, peringkat AAA bagi AS tlh diberikan oleh S&P sjk thn 1914, sdgkan Moody's sjk thn 1917.
Pelaku pasar msh mencermati macroeconomic developments selama sepekan ini. Diharapkan rilis ttg govrn.job report nanti malam dpt mem berikan pencerahan stlh dept.perdagangan merilis turunnya factory orders di blm Juni di+ melemahnya demand utk transportation equipment.
Harga jual Emas menembus rekor tertinggi baru dilevel $1663.40 per ounce, tercatat bnyk central bank baik di Eropa maupun Asia m'borong emas dgn jlh yg signifikan sbg 'safe havens' negara msg2. Minyak mentah, sweet crude, turun ke level $91.93, London Brent Crude turun mjd $113.23 krn cadangan minyak yg menumpuk akibat demand yg berkurang. Brent crude fell $3.23 to settle at $113.23.
Rasanya terlalu dini utk membuat kesimpulan resesi ekonomi bagi negara sebesar AS. Data IMF menyatakan bhw 60.7% currency reserves dunia berada dlm USD, investor terbesar dr China hingga Inggris meminjam dana kpd pemerintah AS selama 1dekade terakhir dgn bunga yg sangat rendah. Saat ini, hanya sedikit alternatif investaaI diluar AS dgn resiko terukur, apapun credit rating yg diberikan.
"Selamat berkarya & berinvestasi...."
(By: Cynthia. Source: BN, CNBC, BI, Kontan)
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Thursday Early BIRD Fundamental Prespective (Edwin Sebayang-MNC Securites).
Ketakutan faktor eksternal (BUKAN krn FAKTOR INTERNAL dari Indonesia) mengenai akan diturunkannya 1 notch credit rating AS oleh S&P dilihat ES sbg faktor terjadinya Sell off kemarin ditengah kuatnya fundamental makro ekonomi Indonesia dan pertumbuhan EPS dan ROE emiten di Indonesia, sehingga dengan bounce-back nya Dow Jones semalam sebesar +0.25% akan meredakan aksi jual di Bursa Indonesia dlm perdagangan pagi ini dan bukan mustahil bbrp saham dapat menguat setelah selama 2 hari jatuh tajam membuat hal tsb mjd opportunity utk investor MNC Securities melakukan pembelian.
Setelah sempat turun tajam -126 poin akibat pemburukan data ekonomi dr Sektor Jasa bulan Juli yg turun tajam ke level terendah sejak February 2010 serta data Pemesanan Pabrik bln Juni turun akibat lemahnya permintaan akan peralatan transportasi, ditengah volatilenya perdagangan, Dow akhirnya dapat recover dan ditutup naik +29.82 poin setelah turun 8 hari berturut-turut dlm perdagangan Rabu (3/8) menyusul kemungkinan akan dikeluarkannya Program Quantative Easing jilid 3 (QE 3), ditengah pemburukan data ekonomi, persoalan krisis baru di Zona Euro dan kemungkinan di-Downgradenya credit Rating AS.
Dilain pihak, emas ditutup pd level tertinggi baru lagi yakni USD1663.50/ounce, didorong semakin dalamnya ketakutan melebarnya krisis hutang di Zona Euro ditengah aksi beli emas yg dilakukan bbrp Bank Sentral dunia dibln Juni.
Sementara harga minyak mentah dunia turun tajam menyusulnya peningkatan cadangan minyak pemerintah ditengah perkiraan tjdnya penurunan permintaan minyak.
DOW11896.44 +0.25%
NAS 2693.07 +0.89%
S&P 1260.33 +0.5%
OIL 91.96 -1.95%
GOLD 1663.5 +1.15%
NICKEL.23805. -4.01 %
CPO.3136. +0.74 %
TLK.36.02 ( 7635)
IIT.34.32 ( 5820)
Thu IDX Range: 4097-4200
BUY: ASII, UNTR, AKRA, INDF, SIMP, ITMG, BBRI, BMRI, UNTR, HEXA, PTBA, HRUM, INTA (ES-MNC Securities/Disclaimer On)
"Salam dari MNC Sec Cab Medan"
dan tadi malam sempat minus -126, dan berhasil di tutup +29,82. sehingga membentuk candle long leg hammer, ini tanda early signal reversal/rebound yg kuat.
disamping resist2 yg disebutkan kemaren, resist gede ada di 12,300 yg merupakan neckline dari double top di atas.
semoga bermanfaat.
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15:42 RX covers Property ASRI 400 BSDE 1200 CTRA 550 ELTY 159 SMRA 1450
15:03 Laba SIPD naik 41.57% semester 1 dr 15.16m menjadi 21.46 m
14:49 SIPD....GO GO GO
14:48 asing net sale 391 M cuma banyak di PGAS
14:46 Tasrul ADMG akan test sekitar level 720, resistance saat ini di level 940. Indikator sudah berada di oversold area.
14:33 EROPA :
Setelah penutupan perdagangan Rabu kemarin, Perdana Menteri Italia, Silvio Berlusconi menjabarkan kondisi ekonomi Italia dengan menegaskan akan meningkatkan pertumbuhan ekonomi negeri pizza tersebut.
Namun Presiden Uni Eropa, Jose-Manuel Barroso meminta negara anggota Uni Eropa untuk meratifikasi melawan krisis dengan langkah-langkah baru yang disepakati .
EROPA IJO...
14:14 Bond unt Panjang FR42, 52, 56 tidak turun ya
11:46 (T) PGAS : support 3500-3550, jk break target 3000.. (Note : Ekspektasi break).
11:25 (TLKM IJ / TLKM.JK, NEUTRAL - Maintained, Rp7,550 - Tgt. Rp7,800, Telecommunications - Integrated)
We maintain our recently-upgraded NEUTRAL recommendation, forecast and Rp7,800 target price for Telkom following its conference call. The telco reaffirmed its FY11 guidance, which implies that it expects a more robust growth in 2H. This is in line with our expectations, as we expect 3Q to be bolstered by the Ramadan festivities. However, the company also said it expects SMS revenues to be cannibalised by instant messaging down the road, echoing XL Axiata. The only uncertainty, in our view, is how quickly this substitution will take place.
11:21 INILAH.COM, Jakarta - Tambang Batu Hijau milik PT Newmont Nusa Tenggara, anak usaha PT Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS), tutup untuk sementara dengan waktu yang tidak ditentukan karena adanya pemblokiran oleh sejumlah pendemo terhadap akses ke tambang.
Hal ini terjadi akibat ketidakpuasan proses penerimaan sejumlah calon pekerja. Dari 5.500 pelamar hanya 230 posisi yang tersedia. Sementara, Newmont Denver melaporkan penurunan produksi emas dan tembaga masing-masing 70% YoY dan 56% YoY menjadi 26 ribu ounce emas dan 28 juta pound tembaga.
Menurut Samuel Sekuritas, penurunan produksi akan berakibat pada nilai bottom-line Newmont sehingga ada kemungkinan bahwa tidak ada/berkurangnya pembagian dividen oleh Newmont untuk pemegang saham.
11:00 BUMI HD paling tinggal 10 ribu lageee
asing net sale 172 M
10:57 Direktur Sinarmas Sekuritas, Hermawan Hosein, tidak membantah data itu. Dia bahkan menyebutkan, total dana kelolaan Danamas Stabil hampir mencapai Rp 3 triliun. Dus, porsi saham ELTY setara 20,27% terhadap total dana kelolaan Danamas Stabil.
Ini memperlihatkan bahwa kebijakan penempatan dana kelolaan Danamas Stabil di saham ELTY melanggar Peraturan Badan Pengawas Pasar Modal Lembaga Keuangan (Bapepam LK) Nomor IV.B.1 tentang Pedoman Pengelolaan Reksadana Berbentuk Kontrak Investasi Kolektif.
Beleid itu melarang MI menempatkan 10% dana kelolaan reksadana di efek yang diterbitkan satu perusahaan.
Kepala Biro Pengelolaan Investasi Bapepam-LK, Djoko Hendratto, menegaskan lembaganya akan menjatuhkan sanksi tegas bagi MI yang melanggar aturan kepemilikan portofolio reksadana.
Sanksi akan dijatuhkan apabila MI masih menyimpan lebih dari 10% dananya selama 10 hari berturut-turut. Bapepam akan meminta MI mengubah portofolionya. Jika belum dipenuhi, MI akan dipanggil ke Bapepam dan tak boleh menjual produk itu lagi karena tidak sesuai dengan kebijakan investasi di prospektus. "Jika masih tidak mau juga, produk reksadana itu bisa dibubarkan," ungkap Djoko.
Tapi, kata Djoko, MI umumnya menyiasati aturan itu dengan mengubah portofolionya sebelum 10 hari sehingga terhindar dari sanksi. "Bisa saja sebelum 10 hari portofolionya sudah berubah," tutur dia.
Presiden Direktur Sinarmas Sekuritas, Kokarjadi Chandra, mengaku belum memeriksa porfolionya. "Mungkin ada, tapi untuk investasi jangka pendek. Nanti saya cek dulu," tutur dia kepada KONTAN.
Hermawan menimpali, kemungkinan ada kekeliruan dalam penempatan dana tersebut. "Tapi segera akan kami selesaikan," ujar dia lewat pesan singkat.
10:51 Astra Agro Target Cut To IDR26,700 Vs IDR32,150 By UBS
10:21 Saham PT Intraco Penta Tbk (INTA) mencetak rekor tertinggi, setelah dikabarkan bakal merampungkan rencana akuisisi dua tambang batubara pada kuartal keempat tahun ini.
10:07 asing net sale 104 M
10:05 di koran kontan hari ini ada berita salah satu reksadana punya sinarmas, dana kelolaan sekitar 3T, 600 Milyar nya isinya saham ELTY, artinya mencapai 20%.. ini menyalahi aturan bapepam , karena maximal hanya boleh 10%.. dari 2 minggu ini LG banyak sekali buang ELTY, sudah sekitar 1 juta lot atau sekitar 80 M....
09:47 Bisnis Indonesia daily reported that Upstream Oil & Gas Regulator (BP Migas Hulu) has requested Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS.IJ) and its gas suppliers to renegotiate their contracts on gas pricing. The government complains that Perusahaan Gas’ purchase prices from some suppliers are too low. It mentions that currently Perusahaan Gas still has gas contracts with purchase price as low as US$1.8/mmbtu, compared to current domestic price of US$5.5/mmbtu.
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PERSONAL VIEW(2) on 04.08.11
Setelah terkena imbas sentimen negatif regional, IHSG ditutup melemah 0.98% menjadi 4136.50 dgn dukungan value(Rp.5.6Tn) & volume (834Milyar saham) yg cukup kuat. Foreign investor melakukan nett sell sebesar Rp. 539 Milyar diikuti dgn koreksi tipis 0.15% mjd Rp. 8489 utk nilai tukar Rupiah thdp dolar AS.
Proyeksi technical rebound hari ini dgn rentang pergerakan indeks 4107-4185.Rekomendasi agar tetap mengakumulasi saham berfundamental positif yg didukung oleh teknikal support yg tertata dgn baik. Saham2 BUMN berkapitalisasi bsr akan menjadi pilihan utama dlm urutan portfolio sbg underlying asset utama utk mid-longterm investment. Perhatikan saham PGAS yg kmrn terkoreksi 4%.
Saham dari sektor Manufacture(ASII, IMAS, AUTO), Mining(ADRO,PTBA,BUMI,ITMG, HRUM, PGAS) , Consumer Goods (INDF, UNVR, GGRM,KLBF), Finance(BBRI, BMRI, BBNI, BBCA) & Infrastructure(JSMR, ,SMGR, TLKM). Saham second liner yg msh berpotensi naik & melanjutkan rebound: MASA,CPIN, ENRG, ELTY,BRMS, POLY,BKSL.
JCI for today:
Support: 4075; 4095
Resistance: 4175; 4200
USD/IDR: 8460-8495
"Selamat berkarya & berinvestasi...."
(By: Cynthia. Source: BN, CNBC, BI, Kontan)
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PERSONAL VIEW(1) on 04.08.11
Setelah nyaris 9hari berturut-turut DOW, S&P, Nasdaq terkoreksi tajam, akhir sesi2 perdagangan ditutup rebound pd level psikologis. DOW +0.25%, S&P +0.50%, Nasdaq +0.89% yg dibuka dgn -1.5%. Segala daya dilakukan utk mengantisipasi akselerasi perkembangan polemik 'resesi' yg mewabah dgn cepat meracuni mind set pelaku pasar.
Penandatanganan 'bill' penangkis default hutang o/ Presiden Obama yg membuat pemeringkat hutang Moody's & Fitch mengkonfirmasikan utk tetap mempertahan kan rating AAA bagi hutang AS msh membuat banyak investor parno atas krisis finansial baik yg terjadi maupun di AS maupun di Zona Eropa ditambah kekhawatiran atas snowball impact yg akan terjadi. Result dari S&P akan dirilis pd akhir bulan ini. Sbg catatan, peringkat AAA bagi AS tlh diberikan oleh S&P sjk thn 1914, sdgkan Moody's sjk thn 1917.
Pelaku pasar msh mencermati macroeconomic developments selama sepekan ini. Diharapkan rilis ttg govrn.job report nanti malam dpt mem berikan pencerahan stlh dept.perdagangan merilis turunnya factory orders di blm Juni di+ melemahnya demand utk transportation equipment.
Harga jual Emas menembus rekor tertinggi baru dilevel $1663.40 per ounce, tercatat bnyk central bank baik di Eropa maupun Asia m'borong emas dgn jlh yg signifikan sbg 'safe havens' negara msg2. Minyak mentah, sweet crude, turun ke level $91.93, London Brent Crude turun mjd $113.23 krn cadangan minyak yg menumpuk akibat demand yg berkurang. Brent crude fell $3.23 to settle at $113.23.
Rasanya terlalu dini utk membuat kesimpulan resesi ekonomi bagi negara sebesar AS. Data IMF menyatakan bhw 60.7% currency reserves dunia berada dlm USD, investor terbesar dr China hingga Inggris meminjam dana kpd pemerintah AS selama 1dekade terakhir dgn bunga yg sangat rendah. Saat ini, hanya sedikit alternatif investaaI diluar AS dgn resiko terukur, apapun credit rating yg diberikan.
"Selamat berkarya & berinvestasi...."
(By: Cynthia. Source: BN, CNBC, BI, Kontan)
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Thursday Early BIRD Fundamental Prespective (Edwin Sebayang-MNC Securites).
Ketakutan faktor eksternal (BUKAN krn FAKTOR INTERNAL dari Indonesia) mengenai akan diturunkannya 1 notch credit rating AS oleh S&P dilihat ES sbg faktor terjadinya Sell off kemarin ditengah kuatnya fundamental makro ekonomi Indonesia dan pertumbuhan EPS dan ROE emiten di Indonesia, sehingga dengan bounce-back nya Dow Jones semalam sebesar +0.25% akan meredakan aksi jual di Bursa Indonesia dlm perdagangan pagi ini dan bukan mustahil bbrp saham dapat menguat setelah selama 2 hari jatuh tajam membuat hal tsb mjd opportunity utk investor MNC Securities melakukan pembelian.
Setelah sempat turun tajam -126 poin akibat pemburukan data ekonomi dr Sektor Jasa bulan Juli yg turun tajam ke level terendah sejak February 2010 serta data Pemesanan Pabrik bln Juni turun akibat lemahnya permintaan akan peralatan transportasi, ditengah volatilenya perdagangan, Dow akhirnya dapat recover dan ditutup naik +29.82 poin setelah turun 8 hari berturut-turut dlm perdagangan Rabu (3/8) menyusul kemungkinan akan dikeluarkannya Program Quantative Easing jilid 3 (QE 3), ditengah pemburukan data ekonomi, persoalan krisis baru di Zona Euro dan kemungkinan di-Downgradenya credit Rating AS.
Dilain pihak, emas ditutup pd level tertinggi baru lagi yakni USD1663.50/ounce, didorong semakin dalamnya ketakutan melebarnya krisis hutang di Zona Euro ditengah aksi beli emas yg dilakukan bbrp Bank Sentral dunia dibln Juni.
Sementara harga minyak mentah dunia turun tajam menyusulnya peningkatan cadangan minyak pemerintah ditengah perkiraan tjdnya penurunan permintaan minyak.
DOW11896.44 +0.25%
NAS 2693.07 +0.89%
S&P 1260.33 +0.5%
OIL 91.96 -1.95%
GOLD 1663.5 +1.15%
NICKEL.23805. -4.01 %
CPO.3136. +0.74 %
TLK.36.02 ( 7635)
IIT.34.32 ( 5820)
Thu IDX Range: 4097-4200
BUY: ASII, UNTR, AKRA, INDF, SIMP, ITMG, BBRI, BMRI, UNTR, HEXA, PTBA, HRUM, INTA (ES-MNC Securities/Disclaimer On)
"Salam dari MNC Sec Cab Medan"
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