Rabu, 20 April 2011

Berita pagi Rabu 20 April 2011

Good morning..... Stocks ended higher amid a slew of largely upbeat earnings and a jump in commodity prices, as the major indices recovered about half of Monday's losses in the wake of Standard & Poor's revised outlook on U.S. debt.
Volume in the markets remains sluggish despite the number of earnings reports, in part because of the Passover and Easter holidays. Volume on the consolidated tape of the New York Stock Exchange was 3.7 billion shares, while 843 million shares changed hands on the NYSE floor. Gold futures hit a intraday high  of $1,500 an ounce before closing up 0.15 percent at $1,494.50.
On the U.S. economic front, housing starts in March rose 7.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 549,000 units, while building permits for the month rose 11.2 percent, the Commerce Department said Tuesday.
In Europe, Swiss drugmaker Novartis reported first-quarter earnings above analyst forecasts. The stock was 3.3 percent higher in mid-morning trading. European shares closed higher, helped by positive earnings.

Dow. 12266.75. +65.16. +0.53% 
Nasdaq. 2744.97. +9.59. +0.35% 
S&P 500. 1312.62. +7.48. +0.57% 
FTSE. 5896.87. +26.79.+0.46% 
Dax. 7039.31. +12.46. +0.18% 
CAC40. 3908.58. +27.34. +0.7% 
Rupiah. 8678 Euro. 1.4335 
TLKM. 34.79 +1.33 +3.97%. Rp 7548 
ISAT. 30.61 +0.09.+0.29%.Rp 5313 
Vallar. 1371,00. -9,00. -0.65% 
EIDO. 30.52. +0.52. +1.73% 
Oil. 108.28. +0.59. +0.55% 
Gold. 1495.100.+2.200. +0.15% 
Coal 15 Apr 123.12 vs.123.30 (8 Apr) 
Timah. 32350. -275. -0.84% 
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Kuatnya makro ekonomi Indonesia yg ditandai kecilnya defisit APBN hanya 1.8%dibandingkan Amerika Serikat sebesar 11% serta ekspektasi terjadinya deflasi di bulan April -0.1% s/d -0.2% membuat Bursa Indonesia bertahan dan diperkirakan melanjutkan penguatannya ditengah musim masa pembagian dividen.

Wall Street ditutup menguat ditengah laporan keuangan Q1/2011 emiten yg menggembirakan dan bounce-backnya harga komoditas, dmn sebagian besar Indeks mengalami peningkatan hampir setengah dari level kejatuhan hari Senin setelah S&P men-downgraded US Long Term Debt Outlook mjd "Negative".

Sementara musim laporan keuangan masih awal, tetapi sdh 71% laporan tsb sesuai dgn ekspektasi dan baru 4% hasilnya diatas ekspektasi menurut pooling Thomson Reuters.

Trend lainnya adalah "emiten yg konsisten bertumbuh"

adlh di sektor consumer staples, health care, utilities, dan telekomunikasi menjadi pemimpin kenaikan utk bbrp bulan ini ketimbang sektor musiman spt: materials dan industrials, White said. Ini lebih krn investor concern akan pengetatan yg dilakukan di Eropa, AS dan negara Asia spt China utk menekan inflasi.
Nilai perdagangan di NYSE Selasa sebesar 6.65 miliar, jauh lebih kecil ketimbang nilai perdagangan Senin sebesar 7.83 miliar lembar, dan semakin jauh lebih kecil dari  rata-rata perdagangan tahun 2010 sebesar 8.47 miliar saham.
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 Wednesday Early BIRD Edition (Edwin Sebayang-MNC Securities).....
Kuatnya makro ekonomi Indonesia yg ditandai kecilnya defisit APBN hanya 1.8%dibandingkan Amerika Serikat sebesar 11% serta ekspektasi terjadinya deflasi di bulan April -0.1% s/d -0.2% membuat Bursa Indonesia bertahan dan diperkirakan melanjutkan penguatannya ditengah musim masa pembagian dividen.

Wall Street ditutup menguat ditengah laporan keuangan Q1/2011 emiten yg menggembirakan dan bounce-backnya harga komoditas, dmn sebagian besar Indeks mengalami peningkatan hampir setengah dari level kejatuhan hari Senin setelah S&P men-downgraded US Long Term Debt Outlook mjd "Negative".

Sementara musim laporan keuangan masih awal, tetapi sdh 71% laporan tsb sesuai dgn ekspektasi dan baru 4% hasilnya diatas ekspektasi menurut pooling Thomson Reuters.

Trend lainnya adalah "emiten yg konsisten bertumbuh" adlh di sektor consumer staples, health care, utilities, dan telekomunikasi menjadi pemimpin kenaikan utk bbrp bulan ini ketimbang sektor musiman spt: materials dan industrials, White said. Ini lebih krn investor concern akan pengetatan yg dilakukan di Eropa, AS dan negara Asia spt China utk menekan inflasi.
Nilai perdagangan di NYSE Selasa sebesar 6.65 miliar, jauh lebih kecil ketimbang nilai perdagangan Senin sebesar 7.83 miliar lembar, dan semakin jauh lebih kecil dari  rata-rata perdagangan tahun 2010 sebesar 8.47 miliar saham.

DOW 12266.75. +0.53%
NAS 2744.97 +0.35%
S&P 1312.62 +0.56%
OIL 108.38  +0.86%
GOLD 1495.40  -0.08%
NICKEL.25300. -0.78%
TIN.32400. +0.15% 
CPO. RM.3277.  +0.52%  
TLK.34.79    (Rp 7544 )
IIT.30.61   (Rp.5310  )

Wed IDX Range: 3702-3750
Wednesday Action Strategy

BUY: INTA, INCO, AKRA, BMRI, BBRI, BBNI,  INTP, INDF, ICBP, SMGR, UNTR

SELL:  GIAA, BNBR, MIRA, BLTA (ES-MNC Securities/Disclaimer On)

Have A Fantastic Trading & GBU All....
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• UOB KayHian Kelapa Gading •
Pay attention between 17 and 22 Apr 11. There will be many short-term reversal trends in many active stocks on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). However, between late-Apr 11 and early-May 11, several planets that rule finance, industry and consumer will meet with the malefic planets (Uranus, Saturn and Mars). What is the impact? A SELL signal is more likely to appear than a BUY. Short-term traders are safe to trade while maintaining their risk profiles unchanged, while mid- to long-term investors are advised to wait for the pullback before BUYing.

What to Buy?
• UNTR IJ.  The complex correction pattern is unfolding (see chart). This
stock will likely retrace to Rp20,900-21,300 which is a fair price to BUY
(short-term trading), and then is expected to see a 2% risk with 5% gain.
The risk to reward ratio will be 2.5x.
• CMNP IJ.  This stock is moving inside the potential wave 4 that could be a
sideways movement. Based on the wave analysis theory, the next target
will be Rp980-1,000. However, just in case another scenario happens to
invalidate the downtrend view, watch the “uptrend confirmation line” in the
chart on the next page. When the price rises above it, the trend will be
bullish again.
• ANTM IJ.  The good news comes from ANTM. The fans of ANTM could be
ready to BUY this stock at Rp2,250 at 50.0-61.8% of the Fibonacci
retracement with 3% stop loss and expect to sell it at Rp2,400. The risk toreward ratio is 2x.
• TBIG IJ.  The short consolidation since 7 Apr 11 signals a bullish continuation. If you have no position on this stock, BUY at Rp2,375-2,425 with stop loss at Rp2,300. The short-term target is Rp2,600.
• INCO IJ.  The ascending triangle on the weekly chart could bring this stock to above Rp5,000. We then prepare to BUY at Rp4,750-4,800 or when it break the latest minor peak at Rp4,900. Stop loss of 3% with initial target price at Rp5,200.
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Stocks to watch:

ASII - car sales in March was 83,058 units (+19.5% mom) while motorcycle sales reached 710,635 units (+16.5% mom). Meanwhile, the management said that Toyota Astra Motor plans to increase its annual production by 33% to 200K units over the next 2-3 years.

MNCN- expects FY11 revenue to hit Rp8tn (+65% yoy)- the number is far above market consensus of Rp5.7tn

ASRI- 1Q11 sales was Rp471bn (+2.8% yoy) - it's already 34% of FY11 consensus of Rp1.39tn

SSIA- data from Colliers International, SSIA's industrial plot sales accounted for 50% of total industrial plot sales in 1Q11, which reached 344 hectares (64% of totak sales in 2010)
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JAKARTA: PT Astra Otoparts Tbk, produsen suku cadang otomotif dari Grup Astra, berencana melakukan pemecahan nilai nominal saham atau stock split dengan rasio 1:5 guna membuat saham perseroan menjadi likuid.

Direktur Astra Otoparts Robby Sani mengatakan rencana pelaksanaan stock split itu akan diajukan saat RUPS perseroan pada 27 April 2011.
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Stock Pick :

LSIP, cakep bgt, bentuknya Ascending triangle...target deket 2475, 2550.


Happy Cuan yaa...

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