Senin, 16 Mei 2011

Berita Pagi Senin 16 Mei 2011

Singapore (AP) : MSCI announced semi-anual changes to the emerging market early this week.  Indika energy ( Indy.jk) was enter with 0,08% of the Msci EM index. We estimate fund flows of usd 85,9 mn. This stock impacted should be strong in the market today.

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INDONESIA EQUITY
Investment Research
Daily News
Tasrul
DAILY TECHNICAL –May 16,2011
Market Overview

Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG),3,832.02,  Sideways

IHSG hari ini cenderung  sideways dengan perkiraan  resistance  berikutnya
sekitar level R1 (3,849.75) dan support di level S2 (3,825.15).

Kenaikkan IHSG lebih lanjut sangat ditentukan apakah IHSG mampu tembus
level Q (3,41.55) atau tidak.

Dari indikator  MACD Optimized  meskipun lterlihat IIHSG lebih cenderung turun
nanum belum konfirm sepenuhnya.

Jikapun IHSG kembali terkoreksi setelah pada perdagangan akhir minggu lalu
mampu ditutup positif, diperkirakan level  strong support  IHSG di S4 (3,808.74)
akan dipertahankan.

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May 13, 2011 - PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk (“Delta”) is pleased to announce that its primary operating subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama (“BUMA”) has signed a US$ 800 million loan facility (the “2011 Facility”) with 10 banks acting as mandated lead arrangers.   The 2011 Facility was over subscribed, with BUMA receiving a total of US$ 1.245 billion in bank commitments.  The key benefits of the 2011 Facility are: (i) improved near term cash flow, (ii) flexible covenant structure and (iii) reduced interest expense. 

The 2011 Facility has two parts: (i) US$ 750 million seven year term loan to refinance all existing bank debt, pay related fees and provide additional cash for future capital expenditures and (ii) a US$ 50 million three year committed revolving facility to add flexibility to BUMA’s  capital structure.

The mandated lead arrangers are PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk, PT Bank Mizuho Indonesia, The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, Ltd., CIMB Bank, Credit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank, The Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, ING Bank N.V., Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. Hong Kong Branch, Morgan Stanley and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation.

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Treasury prices gain Friday as inflation concern eases and stock market drop. The 2-year note is up over a tick to yield 0.533%, the 10-year note is up 14 ticks to yield 3.170% and the 30-year bond is up 25 ticks to yield 4.308%. US CPI rose 0.4% in April, matching economists’ forecast.  The Fed purchased $6.9bn of U.S. debt due from May 2018 to Feb 2021.

U.S. stocks finished lower Friday as technology, banking shares lead declines. The Dow shed 100.17 points to close at 12,595.75, pulling the blue-chip index 0.3% lower for the week.  The S&P’s 500 Index declined 10.88 points to end at 1,337.77, with financial companies faring worst among the benchmark’s 10 industry groups. The index also lost 0.2% for the week.

Crude oil for June delivery increased 68 cents to $99.65 a barrel on the NYMEX.  The US dollar rose 0.9% against the euro to $1.4118. The Japanese currency advanced 0.2% to 80.79 per dollar. Against the euro, it gained as much as 1.6% to 113.52 yen. (Bloomberg & MarketWatch)

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Monday Early BIRD Edition (Edwin Sebayang-MNC Securities).....
Kejatuhan Wall Street (-0.8%), serta turunnya harga coal (-3.2%), nickel (-0.6%), tin (-2.4%) dan gold (-0.8%)menjadi sentimen negatif bagi perdagangan Senin (16/5) dan jika market terkena tekanan jual, gunakan kesempatan itu untuk melakukan akumulasi beli atas saham2 berbasis perbankan,consumer dan tambang batubara.

Wall Street kembali ditutup turun diakhir pekan perdagangan dan turun 2 minggu berturut-turut dimana Dow Jones turun -0.80% akibat turunnya harga komoditas dan penguatan US Dollar setelah data Tingkat Kepercayaan Konsumer AS menguat di bulan Mei naik mjd 72.4 dari sebelumnya 69.8 di bln April,  dimana penguatan US Dollar tersebut  akan menekan emiten yg sangat diuntungkan dgn penjualan diluar negeri dgn US Dollar yg lemah, ditengah kekhawatiran investor atas implikasi krisis utang yg terjadi di Eropa dan perlambatan ekonomi global.

Ada indikasi bahwa Wall Street akan terus mengalami penurunan 6% s/d 8% dari level tertingginya di bulan Mei ini akibat kekuatiran mengenai krisis utang di Eropa, kejatuhan Euro, kelanjutan program Quantitative Easing, perlambatan ekonomi dan adanya perpindahan saham dari sektor berbasis energi dan metal ke saham sektor farmasi dan consumer.

Bbrp data ekonomi & emiten penting yg akan keluar di AS sepanjang minggu ini (May 16-20) spt: Empire state manufacturing survey, Housing starts, industrial production, Weekly mortgage applications, oil inventories, FOMC minutes, Weekly jobless claims, existing home sales, Philadelphia Fed survey, leading indicators, 

DOW 12595.75 -0.79%
NAS 2828.47 -1.21%
S&P  1337.77  -0.81%
OIL 99.34 +0.74%
GOLD 1494.20  -0.78%
COAL 118.74. -  3.23%
NICKEL 24400. -0.61%
TIN 28600.  -2.39%
CPO RM 3365. +1.66%
TLK.35.77  (Rp 7637)
IIT.30.02   (Rp 5127)

Mon IDX Range: 3800-3850
BOW: TOTL, BJBR, ASII, ITMG, HRUM,  PTBA, INDY, UNTR, AKRA, BBRI, BMRI, INDF, MAPI

Speculatif Buy: ELTY, ENRG, DEWA (ES-MNC Securities/Disclaimer On)
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